Our Lyon vs PAOK Salonika Prediction: 3-1
Lyon vs PAOK Salonika in the UEFA Europa League is scheduled for an 20:00 GMT kick-off on Thursday January 29, 2026. A 3-1 win for the home side is our expected outcome, though over 2.5 goals could be a valuable alternative given both teams' scoring form.
This Lyon vs PAOK Salonika prediction is backed by a deep dive into both teams' recent performances, key stats and head-to-head history — all of which you'll find detailed below to help you make an informed betting decision.
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Recent Form Insights
Lyon's Last Match – Lyon vs Brest
Lyon will hope to extend their good run following a 2-1 France Ligue 1 win against Brest on January 18. In that match, Lyon had 71% possession and 8 attempts at goal, with 6 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Lyon | 71% | 8 (6) | 1.48 | 58 |
 Brest | 29% | 6 (1) | 0.49 | 66 |
PAOK Salonika's Last Match – PAOK Salonika vs OFI Crete
Determined to maintain their recent success, PAOK Salonika must win following their 3-0 Greece Super League 1 victory against OFI Crete on January 18. In that match, PAOK Salonika recorded 58% possession, attempting 9 shots on goal, with 5 hitting the target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 PAOK Salonika | 58% | 9 (5) | 1.79 | 39 |
 OFI Crete | 42% | 2 (1) | 0.16 | 23 |
Lyon vs PAOK Salonika Stats
Key Stats
| Lyon | PAOK Salonika | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.1 | Attacking Strength | 1.15 |
| 0.82 | Defence Strength | 1.4 |
| 2.5 | Points Per Game | 2.1 |
| 8/10 | WIN | 6/10 |
| 1/10 | DRAW | 3/10 |
| 5/10 | Clean Sheets | 4/10 |
| 4/10 | BTTS | 5/10 |
| 7/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 5/10 |
| 2.2 | Average Scored | 2.2 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Lyon are averaging 2.2 goals scored and 0.5 conceded per match, while PAOK Salonika average 2.2 scored and 0.9 conceded per game.