Our Lyon vs PAOK Salonika Prediction: 3-1
Lyon vs PAOK Salonika in the UEFA Europa League is scheduled for an 20:00 GMT kick-off on Thursday January 29, 2026. A 3-1 win for the home side is our expected outcome, though over 2.5 goals could be a valuable alternative given both teams' scoring form.
This Lyon vs PAOK Salonika prediction is backed by a deep dive into both teams' recent performances, key stats and head-to-head history — all of which you'll find detailed below to help you make an informed betting decision.
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Recent Form Insights
Lyon's Last Match – Metz vs Lyon
Lyon will hope to extend their good run following a 5-2 France Ligue 1 win against Metz on January 25. In that match, Lyon had 48% possession and 11 attempts at goal, with 11 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Metz | 52% | 7 (6) | 1.28 | 46 |
 Lyon | 48% | 11 (11) | 2.55 | 26 |
PAOK Salonika's Last Match – PAOK Salonika vs Real Betis
Determined to maintain their recent success, PAOK Salonika must win following their 2-0 UEFA Europa League victory against Real Betis on January 22. In that match, PAOK Salonika recorded 43% possession, attempting 7 shots on goal, with 4 hitting the target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 PAOK Salonika | 43% | 7 (4) | 2.85 | 44 |
 Real Betis | 57% | 7 (2) | 0.58 | 49 |
Lyon vs PAOK Salonika Stats
Key Stats
| Lyon | PAOK Salonika | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.1 | Attacking Strength | 1.15 |
| 0.82 | Defence Strength | 1.4 |
| 2.5 | Points Per Game | 2.1 |
| 8/10 | WIN | 6/10 |
| 1/10 | DRAW | 3/10 |
| 5/10 | Clean Sheets | 4/10 |
| 4/10 | BTTS | 5/10 |
| 7/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 5/10 |
| 2.2 | Average Scored | 2.2 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Lyon are averaging 2.2 goals scored and 0.7 conceded per match, while PAOK Salonika average 2.3 scored and 0.8 conceded per game.