Our Lyon vs Toulouse Prediction: 2-1
Lyon vs Toulouse in the France Ligue 1 is scheduled for an 13:00 GMT kick-off on Sunday October 5, 2025. A 2-1 victory for the hosts is our top prediction, yet given both teams’ attacking form, BTTS seems like a smart betting choice.
This Lyon vs Toulouse prediction is backed by a deep dive into both teams' recent performances, key stats and head-to-head history — all of which you'll find detailed below to help you make an informed betting decision.
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Recent Form Insights
Lyon's Last Match – Lyon vs FC Salzburg
Lyon will want to continue their winning form after a 2-0 UEFA Europa League victory over FC Salzburg, knowing this is a must-win match for their campaign. In that match, Lyon controlled 64% of possession and managed 8 shots on goal, with 3 hitting the target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Lyon | 64% | 8 (3) | 2.41 | 35 |
FC Salzburg | 36% | 6 (5) | 0.37 | 31 |
Toulouse's Last Match – Toulouse vs Nantes
Toulouse will look to build on their last result following a 2-2 France Ligue 1 stalemate against Nantes on September 27. In that match, Toulouse recorded 45% possession, attempting 12 shots on goal, with 6 hitting the target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Toulouse | 45% | 12 (6) | 2.27 | 53 |
Nantes | 55% | 5 (2) | 1.46 | 20 |
Lyon vs Toulouse Stats
Key Stats
| Lyon | Toulouse | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.38 | Attacking Strength | 1.21 |
| 0.75 | Defence Strength | 0.75 |
| 2.4 | Points Per Game | 0.8 |
| 8/10 | WIN | 2/10 |
| 0/10 | DRAW | 2/10 |
| 7/10 | Clean Sheets | 2/10 |
| 3/10 | BTTS | 5/10 |
| 4/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 6/10 |
| 1.4 | Average Scored | 1.1 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Lyon are averaging 1.4 goals scored and 0.6 conceded per match, while Toulouse average 1.1 scored and 2.7 conceded per game.
Lyon 14-6
Toulouse 11-27
What are the odds for this match?
Lyon to win: @1.9
Draw: @3.7
Toulouse to win: @4.1
Over 2.5 Goals: @1.825
Lineups
Lyon (4-2-3-1) : Dominik Greif, Ainsley Maitland-Niles, Clinton Mata, Moussa Niakhate, Nicolas Tagliafico, Tyler Morton, Tanner Tessmann, Adam Karabec, Corentin Tolisso, Malick Fofana, Martin Satriano
Toulouse (3-2-2-3) : Guillaume Restes, Mark McKenzie, Charlie Cresswell, Rasmus Nicolaisen, Mario Sauer, Cristian Casseres Jr, Djibril Sidibe, Waren Kamanzi, Aron Donnum, Frank Magri, Yann Gboho



Lyon
FC Salzburg
Toulouse
Nantes
Lens
PSG
Marseille
Lille
Lyon
Rennes
Strasbourg
Toulouse
Monaco
Angers
Brest
Lorient
Le Havre
Nice
Paris FC
Nantes
Auxerre
Metz