Our Burkina Faso vs Madagascar Prediction: 2-3
Burkina Faso vs Madagascar in the African Nations Championship is scheduled for an 17:00 GMT kick-off on Saturday August 16, 2025. Our forecast points to a 2-3 away win, but considering both sides' recent goal-scoring trends, over 2.5 goals is also a smart choice.
This Burkina Faso vs Madagascar prediction is backed by a deep dive into both teams' recent performances, key stats and head-to-head history — all of which you'll find detailed below to help you make an informed betting decision.
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Recent Form Insights
Burkina Faso's Last Match – Mauritania vs Burkina Faso
After suffering a 0-1 African Nations Championship loss to Mauritania, Burkina Faso must win to get back on track. In that match, Burkina Faso had 40% possession and 5 shots on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Mauritania | 60% | 0 (4) | 1.3 | 79 |
 Burkina Faso | 40% | 0 (5) | 1.13 | 86 |
Madagascar's Last Match – Madagascar vs Central African Rep
Determined to maintain their recent success, Madagascar must win following their 2-0 African Nations Championship victory against Central African Rep on August 13. In that match, Madagascar recorded 56% possession and 4 shots hitting the target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Madagascar | 56% | 0 (4) | 1.7 | 80 |
 Central African Rep | 44% | 0 (4) | 1.35 | 93 |
Burkina Faso vs Madagascar Stats
Key Stats
| Burkina Faso | Madagascar | |
|---|---|---|
| 2.89 | Attacking Strength | 2.03 |
| 1.9 | Defence Strength | 0.5 |
| 1.5 | Points Per Game | 0.8 |
| 5/10 | WIN | 2/10 |
| 0/10 | DRAW | 2/10 |
| 1/10 | Clean Sheets | 2/10 |
| 4/10 | BTTS | 5/10 |
| 5/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 5/10 |
| 1.6 | Average Scored | 0.9 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Burkina Faso are averaging 1.2 goals scored and 1.5 conceded per match, while Madagascar average 1.1 scored and 1.5 conceded per game.