Our Borussia Dortmund vs Mainz Prediction: 3-1
Borussia Dortmund vs Mainz in the Germany Bundesliga I is scheduled for an 19:30 GMT kick-off on Friday February 13, 2026. Our analysis favors a 3-1 home win, but considering the likelihood of multiple goals, over 2.5 goals is also a solid wager.
This Borussia Dortmund vs Mainz prediction is backed by a deep dive into both teams' recent performances, key stats and head-to-head history — all of which you'll find detailed below to help you make an informed betting decision.
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Recent Form Insights
Borussia Dortmund's Last Match – Wolfsburg vs Borussia Dortmund
Borussia Dortmund will look to carry forward their winning form after a 2-1 Germany Bundesliga I success over Wolfsburg on February 7. In that match, Borussia Dortmund recorded 65% possession, attempting 9 shots on goal, with 4 hitting the target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Wolfsburg | 35% | 10 (2) | 1.44 | 27 |
 Borussia Dortmund | 65% | 9 (4) | 1.26 | 45 |
Mainz's Last Match – Mainz vs Augsburg
Mainz will hope to extend their good run following a 2-0 Germany Bundesliga I win against Augsburg on February 7. In that match, Mainz recorded 38% possession, firing 9 shots at goal, with 6 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Mainz | 38% | 9 (6) | 2.31 | 28 |
 Augsburg | 62% | 8 (6) | 0.7 | 17 |
Borussia Dortmund vs Mainz Stats
Key Stats
| Borussia Dortmund | Mainz | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.36 | Attacking Strength | 1.01 |
| 0.41 | Defence Strength | 1.24 |
| 2.1 | Points Per Game | 1 |
| 6/10 | WIN | 2/10 |
| 3/10 | DRAW | 4/10 |
| 4/10 | Clean Sheets | 2/10 |
| 5/10 | BTTS | 5/10 |
| 6/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 5/10 |
| 2.2 | Average Scored | 1 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Borussia Dortmund are averaging 2.0 goals scored and 1.3 conceded per match, while Mainz average 1.7 scored and 1.0 conceded per game.
Borussia Dortmund 20-13
Mainz 17-10
Lineups
Borussia Dortmund (3-3-2-2) : Gregor Kobel, Niklas Sule, Waldemar Anton, Ramy Bensebaini, Julian Ryerson, Jobe Bellingham, Daniel Svensson, Julian Brandt, Felix Nmecha, Serhou Guirassy, Maximilian Beier
Mainz (3-3-2-2) : Daniel Batz, Stefan Posch, Stefan Bell, Dominik Kohr, Danny da Costa, Kaishu Sano, Silvan Widmer, Lee Jae-sung, Nadiem Amiri, Silas Katompa Mvumpa, Phillip Tietz
Bayern Munich 
Borussia Dortmund 
TSG Hoffenheim 
VfB Stuttgart 
RB Leipzig 
Bayer Leverkusen 
Eintracht Frankfurt 
SC Freiburg 
Hamburg 
Union Berlin 
Augsburg 
Cologne 
Borussia M'gladbach 
Mainz 
Wolfsburg 
Werder Bremen 
St Pauli 
Heidenheim