Our Borussia Dortmund vs Mainz Prediction: 3-1
Borussia Dortmund vs Mainz in the Germany Bundesliga I is scheduled for an 19:30 GMT kick-off on Friday February 13, 2026. Our analysis favors a 3-1 home win, but considering the likelihood of multiple goals, over 2.5 goals is also a solid wager.
This Borussia Dortmund vs Mainz prediction is backed by a deep dive into both teams' recent performances, key stats and head-to-head history — all of which you'll find detailed below to help you make an informed betting decision.
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Recent Form Insights
Borussia Dortmund's Last Match – Wolfsburg vs Borussia Dortmund
Borussia Dortmund will look to carry forward their winning form after a 2-1 Germany Bundesliga I success over Wolfsburg on February 7. In that match, Borussia Dortmund recorded 65% possession, attempting 9 shots on goal, with 4 hitting the target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Wolfsburg | 35% | 10 (2) | 1.44 | 27 |
 Borussia Dortmund | 65% | 9 (4) | 1.26 | 45 |
Mainz's Last Match – Mainz vs Augsburg
Mainz will hope to extend their good run following a 2-0 Germany Bundesliga I win against Augsburg on February 7. In that match, Mainz recorded 38% possession, firing 9 shots at goal, with 6 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Mainz | 38% | 9 (6) | 2.31 | 28 |
 Augsburg | 62% | 8 (6) | 0.7 | 17 |
Borussia Dortmund vs Mainz Stats
Key Stats
| Borussia Dortmund | Mainz | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.36 | Attacking Strength | 1.01 |
| 0.41 | Defence Strength | 1.24 |
| 2.1 | Points Per Game | 1 |
| 6/10 | WIN | 2/10 |
| 3/10 | DRAW | 4/10 |
| 4/10 | Clean Sheets | 2/10 |
| 5/10 | BTTS | 5/10 |
| 6/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 5/10 |
| 2.2 | Average Scored | 1 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Borussia Dortmund are averaging 2.0 goals scored and 1.3 conceded per match, while Mainz average 1.7 scored and 1.0 conceded per game.
Borussia Dortmund 20-13
Mainz 17-10
Lineups
Borussia Dortmund (3-3-2-2) : Gregor Kobel, Niklas Sule, Waldemar Anton, Ramy Bensebaini, Julian Ryerson, Jobe Bellingham, Daniel Svensson, Julian Brandt, Felix Nmecha, Serhou Guirassy, Maximilian Beier
Mainz (3-3-2-2) : Daniel Batz, Stefan Posch, Stefan Bell, Dominik Kohr, Danny da Costa, Kaishu Sano, Silvan Widmer, Lee Jae-sung, Nadiem Amiri, Silas Katompa Mvumpa, Phillip Tietz