Our Mainz vs Borussia Dortmund Prediction: 1-1
Mainz vs Borussia Dortmund in the Germany Bundesliga I is scheduled for an 13:30 GMT kick-off on Saturday September 27, 2025. Our forecast favors a 1-1 draw, with both sides expected to find the net, making BTTS a highly probable scenario.
This Mainz vs Borussia Dortmund prediction is backed by a deep dive into both teams' recent performances, key stats and head-to-head history — all of which you'll find detailed below to help you make an informed betting decision.
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Recent Form Insights
Mainz's Last Match – Augsburg vs Mainz
Mainz will want to continue their winning form after a 4-1 Germany Bundesliga I victory over Augsburg, knowing this is a must-win match for their campaign. In that match, Mainz had 40% possession and 11 attempts at goal, with 4 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Augsburg | 60% | 18 (5) | 0.87 | 52 |
 Mainz | 40% | 11 (4) | 2.36 | 56 |
Borussia Dortmund's Last Match – Borussia Dortmund vs Wolfsburg
Borussia Dortmund will hope to extend their good run following a 1-0 Germany Bundesliga I win against Wolfsburg on September 21. In that match, Borussia Dortmund recorded 56% possession, firing 8 shots at goal, with 4 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Borussia Dortmund | 56% | 8 (4) | 1.09 | 82 |
 Wolfsburg | 44% | 4 (0) | 0.76 | 31 |
Mainz vs Borussia Dortmund Stats
Key Stats
| Mainz | Borussia Dortmund | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.73 | Attacking Strength | 1.47 |
| 0.67 | Defence Strength | 0.91 |
| 1.7 | Points Per Game | 2 |
| 5/10 | WIN | 6/10 |
| 2/10 | DRAW | 2/10 |
| 3/10 | Clean Sheets | 4/10 |
| 5/10 | BTTS | 6/10 |
| 5/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 7/10 |
| 2 | Average Scored | 2.8 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Mainz are averaging 2.0 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per match, while Borussia Dortmund average 2.8 scored and 1.5 conceded per game.
Mainz 20-10
Borussia Dortmund 28-15
What are the odds for this match?
Mainz to win: @3.2
Draw: @3.7
Borussia Dortmund to win: @2.1
Lineups
Mainz (3-4-2-1) : Robin Zentner, Danny da Costa, Andreas Hanche-Olsen, Maxim Leitsch, Silvan Widmer, Kaishu Sano, Nadiem Amiri, Philipp Mwene, Paul Nebel, Lee Jae-sung, Armindo Sieb
Borussia Dortmund (3-4-3) : Gregor Kobel, Waldemar Anton, Nico Schlotterbeck, Ramy Bensebaini, Yan Couto, Marcel Sabitzer, Felix Nmecha, Daniel Svensson, Karim Adeyemi, Julian Brandt, Maximilian Beier
Bayern Munich 
Borussia Dortmund 
RB Leipzig 
VfB Stuttgart 
Bayer Leverkusen 
Cologne 
Eintracht Frankfurt 
SC Freiburg 
Hamburg 
St Pauli 
TSG Hoffenheim 
Werder Bremen 
Union Berlin 
Augsburg 
Wolfsburg 
Mainz 
Borussia M'gladbach 
Heidenheim