Our Mainz vs Borussia Dortmund Prediction: 1-1
Mainz vs Borussia Dortmund in the Germany Bundesliga I is scheduled for an 13:30 GMT kick-off on Saturday September 27, 2025. Our forecast favors a 1-1 draw, with both sides expected to find the net, making BTTS a highly probable scenario.
This Mainz vs Borussia Dortmund prediction is backed by a deep dive into both teams' recent performances, key stats and head-to-head history — all of which you'll find detailed below to help you make an informed betting decision.
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Recent Form Insights
Mainz's Last Match – Augsburg vs Mainz
Mainz will want to continue their winning form after a 4-1 Germany Bundesliga I victory over Augsburg, knowing this is a must-win match for their campaign. In that match, Mainz had 40% possession and 11 attempts at goal, with 4 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Augsburg | 60% | 18 (5) | 0.87 | 52 |
 Mainz | 40% | 11 (4) | 2.36 | 56 |
Borussia Dortmund's Last Match – Borussia Dortmund vs Wolfsburg
Borussia Dortmund will hope to extend their good run following a 1-0 Germany Bundesliga I win against Wolfsburg on September 21. In that match, Borussia Dortmund recorded 56% possession, firing 8 shots at goal, with 4 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Borussia Dortmund | 56% | 8 (4) | 1.09 | 82 |
 Wolfsburg | 44% | 4 (0) | 0.76 | 31 |
Mainz vs Borussia Dortmund Stats
Key Stats
| Mainz | Borussia Dortmund | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.73 | Attacking Strength | 1.47 |
| 0.67 | Defence Strength | 0.91 |
| 1.7 | Points Per Game | 2 |
| 5/10 | WIN | 6/10 |
| 2/10 | DRAW | 2/10 |
| 3/10 | Clean Sheets | 4/10 |
| 5/10 | BTTS | 6/10 |
| 5/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 7/10 |
| 2 | Average Scored | 2.8 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Mainz are averaging 2.0 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per match, while Borussia Dortmund average 2.8 scored and 1.5 conceded per game.
Mainz 20-10
Borussia Dortmund 28-15
What are the odds for this match?
Mainz to win: @3.2
Draw: @3.7
Borussia Dortmund to win: @2.1
Lineups
Mainz (3-4-2-1) : Robin Zentner, Danny da Costa, Andreas Hanche-Olsen, Maxim Leitsch, Silvan Widmer, Kaishu Sano, Nadiem Amiri, Philipp Mwene, Paul Nebel, Lee Jae-sung, Armindo Sieb
Borussia Dortmund (3-4-3) : Gregor Kobel, Waldemar Anton, Nico Schlotterbeck, Ramy Bensebaini, Yan Couto, Marcel Sabitzer, Felix Nmecha, Daniel Svensson, Karim Adeyemi, Julian Brandt, Maximilian Beier
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Mainz