Our Mainz vs St Pauli Prediction: 1-1
Mainz vs St Pauli in the Germany Bundesliga I is scheduled for an 14:30 GMT kick-off on Sunday December 21, 2025. We anticipate a balanced game ending in a 1-1 draw, and given both teams’ scoring form, BTTS looks like a safe bet.
This Mainz vs St Pauli prediction is backed by a deep dive into both teams' recent performances, key stats and head-to-head history — all of which you'll find detailed below to help you make an informed betting decision.
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Recent Form Insights
Mainz's Last Match – Mainz vs TSG Hoffenheim
Mainz will be determined to find a winning touch after a 1-1 Germany Bundesliga I draw against TSG Hoffenheim on November 21. In that match, Mainz controlled 46% of possession and managed 6 shots on goal, with 3 hitting the target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Mainz | 46% | 6 (3) | 2.52 | 0 |
 TSG Hoffenheim | 54% | 9 (5) | 1.47 | 0 |
St Pauli's Last Match – St Pauli vs Union Berlin
St Pauli will aim to put their last result behind them following a 0-1 Germany Bundesliga I loss to Union Berlin on November 23. In that match, St Pauli recorded 59% possession, firing 8 shots at goal, with 3 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 St Pauli | 59% | 8 (3) | 0.7 | 63 |
 Union Berlin | 41% | 6 (3) | 0.4 | 31 |
Mainz vs St Pauli Stats
Key Stats
| Mainz | St Pauli | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.67 | Attacking Strength | 0.67 |
| 1.07 | Defence Strength | 0.85 |
| 1.1 | Points Per Game | 0.4 |
| 3/10 | WIN | 1/10 |
| 2/10 | DRAW | 1/10 |
| 2/10 | Clean Sheets | 0/10 |
| 5/10 | BTTS | 4/10 |
| 4/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 6/10 |
| 1 | Average Scored | 0.6 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Mainz are averaging 1.0 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per match, while St Pauli average 0.6 scored and 2.0 conceded per game.