Our Mainz vs St Pauli Prediction: 1-1
Mainz vs St Pauli in the Germany Bundesliga I is scheduled for an 14:30 GMT kick-off on Saturday February 22, 2025. A 1-1 draw seems the most likely outcome, and with both teams showing attacking intent, BTTS is a solid alternative bet.
This Mainz vs St Pauli prediction is backed by a deep dive into both teams' recent performances, key stats and head-to-head history — all of which you'll find detailed below to help you make an informed betting decision.
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Recent Form Insights
Mainz's Last Match – Heidenheim vs Mainz
Mainz will hope to extend their good run following a 2-0 Germany Bundesliga I win against Heidenheim on February 16. In that match, Mainz recorded 44% possession, attempting 6 shots on goal, with 5 hitting the target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Heidenheim | 56% | 10 (3) | 0.76 | 49 |
 Mainz | 44% | 6 (5) | 2.14 | 49 |
St Pauli's Last Match – St Pauli vs SC Freiburg
St Pauli will look to get back on track following a 0-1 Germany Bundesliga I loss against SC Freiburg on February 15. In that match, St Pauli controlled 53% of possession and managed 6 shots on goal, with 1 hitting the target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 St Pauli | 53% | 6 (1) | 0.14 | 34 |
 SC Freiburg | 47% | 6 (3) | 1.21 | 34 |
Mainz vs St Pauli Stats
Key Stats
| Mainz | St Pauli | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.75 | Attacking Strength | 0.73 |
| 0.6 | Defence Strength | 0.69 |
| 1.6 | Points Per Game | 1 |
| 5/10 | WIN | 3/10 |
| 1/10 | DRAW | 1/10 |
| 4/10 | Clean Sheets | 3/10 |
| 4/10 | BTTS | 2/10 |
| 4/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 2/10 |
| 1.5 | Average Scored | 0.8 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Mainz are averaging 1.5 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per match, while St Pauli average 0.8 scored and 1.0 conceded per game.
Mainz 15-10
St Pauli 8-10
What are the odds for this match?
Mainz to win: @1.8
Draw: @3.5
St Pauli to win: @4.75
Lineups
Mainz (3-4-1-2) : Robin Zentner, Danny da Costa, Moritz Jenz, Dominik Kohr, Anthony Caci, Kaishu Sano, Nadiem Amiri, Philipp Mwene, Paul Nebel, Jonathan Burkardt, Nelson Weiper
St Pauli (3-4-3) : Nikola Vasilj, Hauke Wahl, Eric Smith, David Nemeth, Philipp Treu, Jackson Irvine, Siebe Van Der Heyden, Lars Ritzka, Noah Weisshaupt, Johannes Eggestein, Elias Saad