Our TSG Hoffenheim vs Mainz Prediction: 3-1
TSG Hoffenheim vs Mainz in the Germany Bundesliga I is scheduled for an 13:30 GMT kick-off on Saturday April 4, 2026. Our correct score prediction favors a 3-1 home triumph, but considering recent goal trends, betting on over 2.5 goals also makes sense.
This forecast is grounded in a thorough analysis of recent form, team statistics and historical matchups — all explored in detail below to support your betting decisions.
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Recent Form Insights
TSG Hoffenheim's Last Match – RB Leipzig vs TSG Hoffenheim
TSG Hoffenheim will hope to recover from their recent 0-5 Germany Bundesliga I setback against RB Leipzig on March 20. In that match, TSG Hoffenheim controlled 50% of possession and managed 5 shots on goal, with 2 hitting the target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 RB Leipzig | 50% | 12 (9) | 2.39 | 35 |
 TSG Hoffenheim | 50% | 5 (2) | 0.77 | 52 |
Mainz's Last Match – Mainz vs Eintracht Frankfurt
Mainz must win to build on their momentum after securing a hard-fought 2-1 Germany Bundesliga I victory over Eintracht Frankfurt in their last outing. In that match, Mainz recorded 30% possession, attempting 7 shots on goal, with 5 hitting the target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Mainz | 30% | 7 (5) | 1.55 | 38 |
 Eintracht Frankfurt | 70% | 7 (4) | 1.28 | 36 |
TSG Hoffenheim vs Mainz Stats
Key Stats
| TSG Hoffenheim | Mainz | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.51 | Attacking Strength | 0.75 |
| 0.48 | Defence Strength | 1.1 |
| 1.7 | Points Per Game | 1.9 |
| 5/10 | WIN | 5/10 |
| 2/10 | DRAW | 4/10 |
| 2/10 | Clean Sheets | 4/10 |
| 6/10 | BTTS | 5/10 |
| 7/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 4/10 |
| 1.9 | Average Scored | 1.4 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
TSG Hoffenheim are averaging 1.9 goals scored and 1.8 conceded per match, while Mainz average 1.4 scored and 1.0 conceded per game.
TSG Hoffenheim 19-18
Mainz 14-10
What are the odds for this match?
TSG Hoffenheim to win: @1.7
Draw: @4
Mainz to win: @4.75
Lineups
TSG Hoffenheim (4-1-3-2) : Oliver Baumann, Vladimir Coufal, Ozan Kabak, Albian Hajdari, Bernardo, Wouter Burger, Alexander Prass, Grischa Promel, Bazoumana Toure, Fisnik Asllani, Tim Lemperle
Mainz (3-3-2-2) : Daniel Batz, Danny da Costa, Stefan Posch, Dominik Kohr, Silvan Widmer, Kaishu Sano, Philipp Mwene, Paul Nebel, Lee Jae-sung, Sheraldo Becker, Phillip Tietz