Our Mainz vs TSG Hoffenheim Prediction: 1-3
Mainz vs TSG Hoffenheim in the Germany Bundesliga I is scheduled for an 19:30 GMT kick-off on Friday November 21, 2025. We anticipate a 1-3 win for the visitors, but with both teams frequently finding the net, a bet on over 2.5 goals is also worth considering.
This Mainz vs TSG Hoffenheim prediction is backed by a deep dive into both teams' recent performances, key stats and head-to-head history — all of which you'll find detailed below to help you make an informed betting decision.
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Recent Form Insights
Mainz's Last Match – Eintracht Frankfurt vs Mainz
After suffering a 0-1 Germany Bundesliga I loss to Eintracht Frankfurt, Mainz must win to get back on track. In that match, Mainz recorded 45% possession, attempting 1 shots on goal, with 0 hitting the target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Eintracht Frankfurt | 55% | 7 (4) | 0.74 | 48 |
 Mainz | 45% | 1 (0) | 0.15 | 48 |
TSG Hoffenheim's Last Match – TSG Hoffenheim vs RB Leipzig
TSG Hoffenheim will aim to maintain their momentum following a 3-1 Germany Bundesliga I triumph against RB Leipzig on November 8. In that match, TSG Hoffenheim had 48% possession and 6 attempts at goal, with 4 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 TSG Hoffenheim | 48% | 6 (4) | 1.83 | 41 |
 RB Leipzig | 52% | 10 (5) | 1.81 | 54 |
Mainz vs TSG Hoffenheim Stats
Key Stats
| Mainz | TSG Hoffenheim | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.74 | Attacking Strength | 1.48 |
| 1.14 | Defence Strength | 1.17 |
| 1 | Points Per Game | 1.7 |
| 3/10 | WIN | 5/10 |
| 1/10 | DRAW | 2/10 |
| 2/10 | Clean Sheets | 1/10 |
| 4/10 | BTTS | 8/10 |
| 4/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 8/10 |
| 0.9 | Average Scored | 2.1 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Mainz are averaging 0.9 goals scored and 1.7 conceded per match, while TSG Hoffenheim average 2.1 scored and 1.7 conceded per game.
Mainz 9-17
TSG Hoffenheim 21-17
What are the odds for this match?
Mainz to win: @2.5
Draw: @3.6
TSG Hoffenheim to win: @2.625
Lineups
Mainz (3-4-2-1) : Robin Zentner, Andreas Hanche-Olsen, Lennard Maloney, Dominik Kohr, Philipp Mwene, Nadiem Amiri, Kaishu Sano, Silvan Widmer, Paul Nebel, Benedict Hollerbach, Lee Jae-sung
TSG Hoffenheim (4-4-2) : Oliver Baumann, Vladimir Coufal, Robin Hranac, Albian Hajdari, Bernardo, Grischa Promel, Leon Avdullahu, Andrej Kramaric, Wouter Burger, Fisnik Asllani, Bazoumana Toure