Our TSG Hoffenheim vs Mainz Prediction: 3-1
TSG Hoffenheim vs Mainz in the Germany Bundesliga I is scheduled for an 13:30 GMT kick-off on Saturday April 4, 2026. Our correct score prediction favors a 3-1 home triumph, but considering recent goal trends, betting on over 2.5 goals also makes sense.
This forecast is grounded in a thorough analysis of recent form, team statistics and historical matchups — all explored in detail below to support your betting decisions.
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Recent Form Insights
TSG Hoffenheim's Last Match – TSG Hoffenheim vs Wolfsburg
TSG Hoffenheim will aim to turn their fortunes around after a 1-1 Germany Bundesliga I draw with Wolfsburg on March 14. In that match, TSG Hoffenheim controlled 68% of possession and managed 16 shots on goal, with 6 hitting the target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 TSG Hoffenheim | 68% | 16 (6) | 1.84 | 95 |
 Wolfsburg | 32% | 4 (2) | 0.26 | 31 |
Mainz's Last Match – Werder Bremen vs Mainz
Mainz must win to build on their momentum after securing a hard-fought 2-0 Germany Bundesliga I victory over Werder Bremen in their last outing. In that match, Mainz recorded 33% possession, attempting 10 shots on goal, with 2 hitting the target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Werder Bremen | 67% | 16 (3) | 0.86 | 59 |
 Mainz | 33% | 10 (2) | 1.08 | 38 |
TSG Hoffenheim vs Mainz Stats
Key Stats
| TSG Hoffenheim | Mainz | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.55 | Attacking Strength | 0.75 |
| 0.48 | Defence Strength | 1.13 |
| 2 | Points Per Game | 1.6 |
| 6/10 | WIN | 4/10 |
| 2/10 | DRAW | 4/10 |
| 3/10 | Clean Sheets | 3/10 |
| 6/10 | BTTS | 6/10 |
| 6/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 5/10 |
| 2 | Average Scored | 1.4 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
TSG Hoffenheim are averaging 2.0 goals scored and 1.3 conceded per match, while Mainz average 1.4 scored and 1.2 conceded per game.
TSG Hoffenheim 20-13
Mainz 14-12
What are the odds for this match?
TSG Hoffenheim to win: @1.65
Draw: @4
Mainz to win: @4.75
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