Our Malaga vs Burgos Prediction: 2-1
Malaga vs Burgos in the Spain Segunda is scheduled for an 19:30 GMT kick-off on Friday January 23, 2026. A 2-1 victory for the hosts is our top prediction, yet given both teams’ attacking form, BTTS seems like a smart betting choice.
This Malaga vs Burgos prediction is backed by a deep dive into both teams' recent performances, key stats and head-to-head history — all of which you'll find detailed below to help you make an informed betting decision.
→ View Today's Full-Time Score Predictions
Recent Form Insights
Malaga's Last Match – Cordoba vs Malaga
Malaga will look to carry forward their winning form after a 1-0 Spain Segunda success over Cordoba on January 18. In that match, Malaga controlled 39% of possession and managed 5 shots on goal, with 5 hitting the target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Cordoba | 61% | 13 (5) | 0.91 | 74 |
 Malaga | 39% | 5 (5) | 0.6 | 23 |
Burgos's Last Match – Burgos vs Huesca
Burgos must win to build on their momentum after securing a hard-fought 1-0 Spain Segunda victory over Huesca in their last outing. In that match, Burgos recorded 63% possession, firing 7 shots at goal, with 4 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Burgos | 63% | 7 (4) | 1.77 | 63 |
 Huesca | 37% | 5 (1) | 1.02 | 38 |
Malaga vs Burgos Stats
Key Stats
| Malaga | Burgos | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.38 | Attacking Strength | 1.18 |
| 0.93 | Defence Strength | 0.83 |
| 2 | Points Per Game | 1.6 |
| 6/10 | WIN | 5/10 |
| 2/10 | DRAW | 1/10 |
| 1/10 | Clean Sheets | 3/10 |
| 8/10 | BTTS | 3/10 |
| 6/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 2/10 |
| 1.7 | Average Scored | 0.9 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Malaga are averaging 1.7 goals scored and 1.1 conceded per match, while Burgos average 0.9 scored and 0.9 conceded per game.