Our Malaga vs Burgos Prediction: 2-1
Malaga vs Burgos in the Spain Segunda is scheduled for an 19:00 GMT kick-off on Sunday January 25, 2026. A 2-1 victory for the hosts is our top prediction, yet given both teams’ attacking form, BTTS seems like a smart betting choice.
This Malaga vs Burgos prediction is backed by a deep dive into both teams' recent performances, key stats and head-to-head history — all of which you'll find detailed below to help you make an informed betting decision.
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Recent Form Insights
Malaga's Last Match – Sporting Gijon vs Malaga
Malaga will look to carry forward their winning form after a 3-1 Spain Segunda success over Sporting Gijon on January 4. In that match, Malaga controlled 48% of possession and managed 6 shots on goal, with 7 hitting the target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Sporting Gijon | 52% | 5 (3) | 1.48 | 88 |
Malaga | 48% | 6 (7) | 0.99 | 37 |
Burgos's Last Match – Burgos vs Eibar
Burgos must win to build on their momentum after securing a hard-fought 1-0 Spain Segunda victory over Eibar in their last outing. In that match, Burgos recorded 52% possession, firing 8 shots at goal, with 5 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Burgos | 52% | 8 (5) | 0.9 | 47 |
Eibar | 48% | 8 (2) | 0.37 | 37 |
Malaga vs Burgos Stats
Key Stats
| Malaga | Burgos | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.3 | Attacking Strength | 1.2 |
| 0.94 | Defence Strength | 0.82 |
| 1.5 | Points Per Game | 1.6 |
| 4/10 | WIN | 5/10 |
| 3/10 | DRAW | 1/10 |
| 0/10 | Clean Sheets | 3/10 |
| 9/10 | BTTS | 3/10 |
| 7/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 2/10 |
| 1.7 | Average Scored | 1 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Malaga are averaging 1.7 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per match, while Burgos average 1.0 scored and 0.9 conceded per game.



Sporting Gijon
Malaga
Burgos
Eibar
Racing Santander
Las Palmas
Almeria
Deportivo La Coruna
CD Castellon
Cadiz
Burgos
AD Ceuta FC
Sporting Gijon
Malaga
Cordoba
Valladolid
FC Andorra
Cultural Leonesa
Eibar
Albacete
Leganes
Real Sociedad B
Huesca
Granada
Real Zaragoza
Mirandes