Our Burgos vs Malaga Prediction: 2-1
Burgos vs Malaga in the Spain Segunda is scheduled for an 14:15 GMT kick-off on Sunday September 28, 2025. A 2-1 victory for the hosts is our top prediction, yet given both teams’ attacking form, BTTS seems like a smart betting choice.
This Burgos vs Malaga prediction is backed by a deep dive into both teams' recent performances, key stats and head-to-head history — all of which you'll find detailed below to help you make an informed betting decision.
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Recent Form Insights
Burgos's Last Match – Burgos vs Granada
Determined to get back to winning ways, Burgos must win after their 1-1 Spain Segunda draw against Granada on September 22. In that match, Burgos recorded 54% possession, attempting 11 shots on goal, with 2 hitting the target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Burgos | 54% | 11 (2) | 0.98 | 49 |
 Granada | 46% | 6 (2) | 0.39 | 39 |
Malaga's Last Match – Malaga vs Cadiz
Malaga will be looking to bounce back after a 0-1 Spain Segunda defeat against Cadiz on September 21. In that match, Malaga controlled 62% of possession and managed 10 shots on goal, with 5 hitting the target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Malaga | 62% | 10 (5) | 1.3 | 69 |
 Cadiz | 38% | 5 (2) | 0.98 | 31 |
Burgos vs Malaga Stats
Key Stats
| Burgos | Malaga | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.23 | Attacking Strength | 0.63 |
| 1.07 | Defence Strength | 0.84 |
| 1.7 | Points Per Game | 1.5 |
| 4/10 | WIN | 4/10 |
| 5/10 | DRAW | 3/10 |
| 5/10 | Clean Sheets | 3/10 |
| 5/10 | BTTS | 4/10 |
| 4/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 4/10 |
| 1.5 | Average Scored | 1 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Burgos are averaging 1.5 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per match, while Malaga average 1.0 scored and 1.0 conceded per game.
Burgos 15-8
Malaga 10-10
What are the odds for this match?
Burgos to win: @2.15
Draw: @3.1
Malaga to win: @3.7
Lineups
Burgos (4-2-3-1) : Ander Cantero, Alejandro Lizancos Saldana, Aitor Cordoba Querejeta, Grego Sierra, Florian Miguel, Ivan Morante Ruiz, Miguel Atienza, David Gonzalez Ballesteros, Kevin Appin, Inigo Cordoba, Fernando Nino
Malaga (4-4-2) : Alfonso Herrero, Diego Murillo, Einar Galilea, Francisco Montero, Daniel Sanchez, David Larrubia, Juanpe, Dani Lorenzo, Julen Lobete, Rafa Rodriguez, Chupete
Deportivo La Coruna 
Racing Santander 
Cadiz 
FC Andorra 
Las Palmas 
Huesca 
Burgos 
Valladolid 
Almeria 
Eibar 
CD Castellon 
AD Ceuta FC 
Leganes 
Albacete 
Sporting Gijon 
Cordoba 
Mirandes 
Granada 
Malaga 
Cultural Leonesa 
Real Zaragoza 
Real Sociedad B