Our Malawi vs Equatorial Guinea Prediction: 1-1
Malawi vs Equatorial Guinea in the Africa - World Cup Qualifying is scheduled for an 16:00 GMT kick-off on Thursday October 9, 2025. Our analysis suggests a 1-1 stalemate, with both teams capable of scoring, reinforcing BTTS as a valuable choice.
This Malawi vs Equatorial Guinea prediction is backed by a deep dive into both teams' recent performances, key stats and head-to-head history — all of which you'll find detailed below to help you make an informed betting decision.
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Recent Form Insights
Malawi's Last Match – Malawi vs Liberia
Malawi will look to build on their last result following a 2-2 Africa - World Cup Qualifying stalemate against Liberia on September 8. In that match, Malawi recorded 9% possession, firing 12 shots at goal, with 6 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Malawi | 9% | 12 (6) | - | 113 |
 Liberia | 91% | 4 (2) | - | 45 |
Equatorial Guinea's Last Match – Equatorial Guinea vs Tunisia
Equatorial Guinea will be looking to bounce back after a 0-1 Africa - World Cup Qualifying defeat against Tunisia on September 8. In that match, Equatorial Guinea had 50% possession and 9 attempts at goal, with 4 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Equatorial Guinea | 50% | 9 (4) | - | 48 |
 Tunisia | 50% | 3 (3) | - | 40 |
Malawi vs Equatorial Guinea Stats
Key Stats
| Malawi | Equatorial Guinea | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.63 | Attacking Strength | 0.92 |
| 1.38 | Defence Strength | 1.17 |
| 1.4 | Points Per Game | 1.5 |
| 4/10 | WIN | 4/10 |
| 2/10 | DRAW | 3/10 |
| 4/10 | Clean Sheets | 3/10 |
| 2/10 | BTTS | 5/10 |
| 2/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 4/10 |
| 0.9 | Average Scored | 1.1 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Malawi are averaging 0.9 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per match, while Equatorial Guinea average 1.1 scored and 1.1 conceded per game.
Malawi 9-8
Equatorial Guinea 11-11
What are the odds for this match?
Malawi to win: @2.6
Draw: @3.2
Equatorial Guinea to win: @2.8
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