Our Morocco vs Mali Prediction: 1-0
Morocco vs Mali in the Africa Cup of Nations is scheduled for an 20:00 GMT kick-off on Friday December 26, 2025. Mali will put up a fight, but Mali’s quality should prevail in a tight 1-0 home win.
This Morocco vs Mali prediction is backed by a deep dive into both teams' recent performances, key stats and head-to-head history — all of which you'll find detailed below to help you make an informed betting decision.
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Recent Form Insights
Morocco's Last Match – Morocco vs Comoros
Determined to maintain their recent success, Morocco must win following their 2-0 Africa Cup of Nations victory against Comoros on December 21. In that match, Morocco recorded 70% possession, firing 11 shots at goal, with 7 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Morocco | 70% | 11 (7) | 2 | 86 |
 Comoros | 30% | 5 (2) | 0.3 | 10 |
Mali's Last Match – Mali vs Zambia
Mali must win as they look to rediscover their winning form following a 1-1 Africa Cup of Nations draw against Zambia on December 22. In that match, Mali had 53% possession and 11 attempts at goal, with 5 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Mali | 53% | 11 (5) | 1.97 | 42 |
 Zambia | 47% | 4 (2) | 0.68 | 35 |
Morocco vs Mali Stats
Key Stats
| Morocco | Mali | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.16 | Attacking Strength | 0.95 |
| 0.57 | Defence Strength | 0.41 |
| 2.8 | Points Per Game | 1.8 |
| 9/10 | WIN | 5/10 |
| 1/10 | DRAW | 3/10 |
| 8/10 | Clean Sheets | 6/10 |
| 2/10 | BTTS | 2/10 |
| 4/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 4/10 |
| 1.9 | Average Scored | 1.9 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Morocco are averaging 1.9 goals scored and 0.3 conceded per match, while Mali average 1.9 scored and 0.4 conceded per game.
Morocco 19-3
Mali 19-4
What are the odds for this match?
Morocco to win: @1.533
Draw: @3.9
Mali to win: @6.5
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