Our Mali vs Tunisia Prediction: 1-1
Mali vs Tunisia in the Africa Cup of Nations is scheduled for an 19:00 GMT kick-off on Saturday January 3, 2026. A 1-1 draw is our predicted outcome, with both teams expected to score, making BTTS a solid betting option.
This Mali vs Tunisia prediction is backed by a deep dive into both teams' recent performances, key stats and head-to-head history — all of which you'll find detailed below to help you make an informed betting decision.
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Recent Form Insights
Mali's Last Match – Comoros vs Mali
Mali will be determined to find a winning touch after a 0-0 Africa Cup of Nations draw against Comoros on December 29. In that match, Mali had 68% possession and 12 attempts at goal, with 2 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Comoros | 32% | 3 (1) | 0.11 | 19 |
 Mali | 68% | 12 (2) | 0.9 | 36 |
Tunisia's Last Match – Tanzania vs Tunisia
Tunisia will look to build on their last result following a 1-1 Africa Cup of Nations stalemate against Tanzania on December 30. In that match, Tunisia controlled 64% of possession and managed 5 shots on goal, with 2 hitting the target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Tanzania | 36% | 4 (2) | 0.17 | 28 |
 Tunisia | 64% | 5 (2) | 0.99 | 43 |
Mali vs Tunisia Stats
Key Stats
| Mali | Tunisia | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.29 | Attacking Strength | 0.83 |
| 0.78 | Defence Strength | 0.69 |
| 1.4 | Points Per Game | 1.6 |
| 3/10 | WIN | 4/10 |
| 5/10 | DRAW | 4/10 |
| 5/10 | Clean Sheets | 2/10 |
| 3/10 | BTTS | 7/10 |
| 2/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 6/10 |
| 1.1 | Average Scored | 1.9 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Mali are averaging 1.1 goals scored and 0.5 conceded per match, while Tunisia average 1.9 scored and 1.2 conceded per game.
Mali 11-5
Tunisia 19-12
What are the odds for this match?
Mali to win: @3
Draw: @2.8
Tunisia to win: @2.8
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