Our Real Madrid vs Man City Prediction: 3-2
Real Madrid vs Man City in the UEFA Champions League is scheduled for an 20:00 GMT kick-off on Wednesday December 10, 2025. A 3-2 result in favor of the hosts is our top pick, yet with both sides creating chances, over 2.5 goals remains an appealing option.
This Real Madrid vs Man City prediction is backed by a deep dive into both teams' recent performances, key stats and head-to-head history — all of which you'll find detailed below to help you make an informed betting decision.
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Recent Form Insights
Real Madrid's Last Match – Elche vs Real Madrid
Real Madrid will look to build on their last result following a 2-2 Spain La Liga stalemate against Elche on November 23. In that match, Real Madrid saw 52% of the ball and created 16 goal attempts, with 7 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Elche | 48% | 12 (6) | 1.66 | 59 |
 Real Madrid | 52% | 16 (7) | 3.06 | 70 |
Man City's Last Match – Man City vs Bayer Leverkusen
Man City will be eager to respond after suffering a 0-2 UEFA Champions League defeat at the hands of Bayer Leverkusen on November 25. In that match, Man City recorded 55% possession, firing 12 shots at goal, with 7 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Man City | 55% | 12 (7) | 1.84 | 117 |
 Bayer Leverkusen | 45% | 2 (2) | 0.55 | 20 |
Real Madrid vs Man City Stats
Key Stats
| Real Madrid | Man City | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.35 | Attacking Strength | 1.51 |
| 0.94 | Defence Strength | 1.13 |
| 2 | Points Per Game | 2.1 |
| 6/10 | WIN | 7/10 |
| 2/10 | DRAW | 0/10 |
| 5/10 | Clean Sheets | 4/10 |
| 4/10 | BTTS | 4/10 |
| 6/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 5/10 |
| 2 | Average Scored | 1.9 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Real Madrid are averaging 2.0 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per match, while Man City average 1.9 scored and 0.8 conceded per game.