Our Villarreal vs Man City Prediction: 2-2
Villarreal vs Man City in the UEFA Champions League is scheduled for an 19:00 GMT kick-off on Tuesday October 21, 2025. A 2-2 draw seems the most likely outcome, and with both teams showing attacking intent, BTTS is a solid alternative bet.
This Villarreal vs Man City prediction is backed by a deep dive into both teams' recent performances, key stats and head-to-head history — all of which you'll find detailed below to help you make an informed betting decision.
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Recent Form Insights
Villarreal's Last Match – Real Madrid vs Villarreal
Villarreal will hope to recover from their recent 1-3 Spain La Liga setback against Real Madrid on October 4. In that match, Villarreal controlled 34% of possession and managed 4 shots on goal, with 2 hitting the target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Real Madrid | 66% | 14 (7) | 3.48 | 96 |
 Villarreal | 34% | 4 (2) | 1.04 | 28 |
Man City's Last Match – Brentford vs Man City
Man City will want to continue their winning form after a 1-0 England Premier League victory over Brentford, knowing this is a must-win match for their campaign. In that match, Man City saw 70% of the ball and created 6 goal attempts, with 4 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Brentford | 30% | 4 (1) | 0.82 | 37 |
 Man City | 70% | 6 (4) | 0.82 | 44 |
Villarreal vs Man City Stats
Key Stats
| Villarreal | Man City | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.76 | Attacking Strength | 1.61 |
| 1.05 | Defence Strength | 1.18 |
| 1.7 | Points Per Game | 2 |
| 5/10 | WIN | 6/10 |
| 2/10 | DRAW | 2/10 |
| 3/10 | Clean Sheets | 5/10 |
| 5/10 | BTTS | 4/10 |
| 5/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 5/10 |
| 1.6 | Average Scored | 2.1 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Villarreal are averaging 1.6 goals scored and 1.1 conceded per match, while Man City average 2.1 scored and 0.8 conceded per game.