Our Avellino vs Mantova Prediction: 3-0
Avellino vs Mantova in the Italy Serie B is scheduled for an 13:00 GMT kick-off on Saturday October 4, 2025. A 3-1 result in favor of the hosts is our top pick, yet with both sides creating chances, over 2.5 goals remains an appealing option.
Our prediction is supported by key Avellino vs Mantova stats, including attacking and defensive strength, recent form and historical results — all detailed below.
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Recent Form Insights
Avellino's Last Match – Padova vs Avellino
Avellino will be determined to find a winning touch after a 2-2 Italy Serie B draw against Padova on September 30. In that match, Avellino had 55% possession and 7 attempts at goal, with 4 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Padova | 45% | 10 (3) | 0.96 | 40 |
 Avellino | 55% | 7 (4) | 1.07 | 44 |
Mantova's Last Match – Juve Stabia vs Mantova
Mantova must win to recover from their recent 1-2 Italy Serie B defeat against Juve Stabia on September 30 and regain momentum. In that match, Mantova saw 58% of the ball and created 9 goal attempts, with 5 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Juve Stabia | 42% | 5 (4) | 1.46 | 35 |
 Mantova | 58% | 9 (5) | 1.03 | 55 |
Avellino vs Mantova Stats
Key Stats
| Avellino | Mantova | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.44 | Attacking Strength | 0.89 |
| 0.45 | Defence Strength | 1.51 |
| 1.7 | Points Per Game | 0.4 |
| 5/10 | WIN | 1/10 |
| 2/10 | DRAW | 1/10 |
| 2/10 | Clean Sheets | 0/10 |
| 5/10 | BTTS | 7/10 |
| 4/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 7/10 |
| 1.6 | Average Scored | 0.8 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Avellino are averaging 1.6 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per match, while Mantova average 0.8 scored and 2.2 conceded per game.
Avellino 16-12
Mantova 8-22
What are the odds for this match?
Avellino to win: @1.95
Draw: @3.5
Mantova to win: @3.75
Over 2.5 Goals: @2
Lineups
Avellino (3-4-2-1) : Antony Iannarilli, Tommaso Cancellotti, Lorenco Simic, Alessandro Fontanarosa, Filippo Missori, Luca Palmiero, Justin Kumi, Andrea Cagnano, Roberto Insigne, Tommaso Biasci, Facundo Lescano
Mantova (4-2-3-1) : Marco Festa, Nicolo Radaelli, Cristiano Bani, Stefano Cella, Alessio Castellini, Flavio Paoletti, Federico Artioli, Davide Bragantini, Simone Trimboli, Maat Daniel Caprini, Nicholas Bonfanti