Our Vasco da Gama vs Marica RJ Prediction: 2-1
Vasco da Gama vs Marica RJ in the Brazil Campeonato Carioca is scheduled for an 00:30 GMT kick-off on Friday January 16, 2026. We predict a 2-1 home victory, but with both teams showing attacking intent, BTTS (Both Teams to Score) is another strong betting option.
This Vasco da Gama vs Marica RJ prediction is backed by a deep dive into both teams' recent performances, key stats and head-to-head history — all of which you'll find detailed below to help you make an informed betting decision.
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Recent Form Insights
Vasco da Gama's Last Match – Vasco da Gama vs Corinthians
After suffering a 1-2 Copa do Brasil loss to Corinthians, Vasco da Gama must win to get back on track. In that match, Vasco da Gama saw 62% of the ball and created 10 goal attempts, with 4 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Vasco da Gama | 62% | 10 (4) | 1.13 | 76 |
 Corinthians | 38% | 5 (2) | 1.44 | 8 |
Marica RJ's Last Match – Portuguesa RJ vs Marica RJ
Marica RJ must win as they look to rediscover their winning form following a 1-1 Brazil Copa Rio draw against Portuguesa RJ on September 6. In that match, Marica RJ recorded 63% possession, firing 4 shots on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Portuguesa RJ | 37% | 0 (3) | - | 30 |
Marica RJ | 63% | 0 (4) | - | 82 |
Vasco da Gama vs Marica RJ Stats
Key Stats
| Vasco da Gama | Marica RJ | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.92 | Attacking Strength | 0.68 |
| 0.77 | Defence Strength | 1.42 |
| 0.7 | Points Per Game | 1.2 |
| 2/10 | WIN | 3/10 |
| 1/10 | DRAW | 3/10 |
| 1/10 | Clean Sheets | 3/10 |
| 4/10 | BTTS | 4/10 |
| 5/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 7/10 |
| 0.9 | Average Scored | 1.3 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Vasco da Gama are averaging 0.9 goals scored and 1.8 conceded per match, while Marica RJ average 1.3 scored and 1.4 conceded per game.
Vasco da Gama 9-18
Marica RJ 13-14
What are the odds for this match?
Vasco da Gama to win: @1.444
Draw: @4
Marica RJ to win: @8
Over 2.5 Goals: @1.925
Portuguesa RJ 
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