Marseille vs Ajax Correct Score Prediction: Team Stats, H2H & Betting Insights

Our Marseille vs Ajax Prediction: 1-3

Marseille vs Ajax in the UEFA Champions League is scheduled for an 19:00 GMT kick-off on Tuesday September 30, 2025. We anticipate a 1-3 win for the visitors, but with both teams frequently finding the net, a bet on over 2.5 goals is also worth considering.

This Marseille vs Ajax prediction is backed by a deep dive into both teams' recent performances, key stats and head-to-head history — all of which you'll find detailed below to help you make an informed betting decision.

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Recent Form Insights

Marseille's Last Match – Strasbourg vs Marseille

Marseille will seek to keep their streak alive after a 2-1 France Ligue 1 victory over Strasbourg on September 26. In that match, Marseille had 60% possession and 11 attempts at goal, with 8 on target.

Team	Possession	Shots (on target)	xG	Dangerous Attacks
Strasbourg	40%	9 (1)	0.91	25
Marseille	60%	11 (8)	1.62	63

Ajax's Last Match – Ajax vs NAC

Ajax will aim to maintain their momentum following a 2-1 Netherlands Eredivisie triumph against NAC on September 27. In that match, Ajax controlled 51% of possession and managed 9 shots on goal, with 6 hitting the target.

Team	Possession	Shots (on target)	xG	Dangerous Attacks
Ajax	51%	9 (6)	1.59	29
NAC	49%	11 (10)	1.57	43

Marseille vs Ajax Stats

Key Stats

Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded

Marseille are averaging 1.8 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per match, while Ajax average 1.6 scored and 1.4 conceded per game.

What are the odds for this match?

Marseille to win: @1.48

Draw: @4.5

Ajax to win: @6

Lineups

Marseille (4-3-3) : Geronimo Rulli, Facundo Medina, Benjamin Pavard, Nayef Aguerd, Emerson, Bilal Nadir, Matt O'Riley, Arthur Vermeeren, Mason Greenwood, Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang, Igor Paixao

Ajax (4-4-2) : Vitezslav Jaros, Lucas Rosa, Kou Itakura, Youri Baas, Owen Wijndal, Youri Regeer, Davy Klaassen, Oscar Gloukh, Kenneth Taylor, Steven Berghuis, Mika Godts

Marseille Fixtures

Ajax Fixtures