Our Mbarara City vs Lugazi FC Prediction: 1-0
Mbarara City vs Lugazi FC in the Uganda Premier League is scheduled for an 13:00 GMT kick-off on Thursday January 22, 2026. With both defenses expected to hold firm, a 1-0 win for Mbarara City seems the most probable outcome against Lugazi FC.
This Mbarara City vs Lugazi FC prediction is backed by a deep dive into both teams' recent performances, key stats and head-to-head history — all of which you'll find detailed below to help you make an informed betting decision.
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Recent Form Insights
Mbarara City's Last Match – Vipers SC vs Mbarara City
Mbarara City will hope to recover from their recent 0-2 Uganda Premier League setback against Vipers SC on January 6. In that match, Mbarara City had 39% possession and 2 shots on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Vipers SC | 61% | 0 (6) | - | 72 |
Mbarara City | 39% | 0 (2) | - | 69 |
Lugazi FC's Last Match – NEC FC Bugolobi vs Lugazi FC
Lugazi FC must win as they aim to bounce back from a disappointing 0-1 Uganda Premier League defeat against NEC FC Bugolobi on January 7. In that match, Lugazi FC controlled 45% of possession and managed 4 shots on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
NEC FC Bugolobi | 55% | 0 (9) | - | 100 |
Lugazi FC | 45% | 0 (4) | - | 83 |
Mbarara City vs Lugazi FC Stats
Key Stats
| Mbarara City | Lugazi FC | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.6 | Attacking Strength | 0.11 |
| 1.14 | Defence Strength | 1.87 |
| 0.9 | Points Per Game | 0.6 |
| 2/10 | WIN | 1/10 |
| 3/10 | DRAW | 3/10 |
| 1/10 | Clean Sheets | 2/10 |
| 7/10 | BTTS | 3/10 |
| 4/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 5/10 |
| 1 | Average Scored | 0.7 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Mbarara City are averaging 1.0 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per match, while Lugazi FC average 0.7 scored and 1.8 conceded per game.


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