Our Merida vs Ourense Prediction: 2-1
Merida vs Ourense in the Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 1 is scheduled for an 11:00 GMT kick-off on Sunday December 7, 2025. Our correct score prediction favors a 2-1 home triumph, but considering both teams’ ability to find the net, BTTS is also a solid alternative bet.
This Merida vs Ourense prediction is backed by a deep dive into both teams' recent performances, key stats and head-to-head history — all of which you'll find detailed below to help you make an informed betting decision.
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Recent Form Insights
Merida's Last Match – Racing Ferrol vs Merida
Merida should win to turn things around after settling for a 2-2 Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 1 draw against Racing Ferrol on November 29. In that match, Merida had 44% possession and 7 shots on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Racing Ferrol | 56% | 0 (5) | - | 33 |
Merida | 44% | 0 (7) | - | 29 |
Ourense's Last Match – Ourense vs Girona
Ourense will look to carry forward their winning form after a 2-1 Spain Copa del Rey success over Girona on December 3. In that match, Ourense recorded 37% possession and 5 shots hitting the target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Ourense | 37% | 0 (5) | 1.31 | 47 |
Girona | 63% | 0 (3) | 2.63 | 51 |
Merida vs Ourense Stats
Key Stats
| Merida | Ourense | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.4 | Attacking Strength | 0.69 |
| 0.79 | Defence Strength | 0.88 |
| 1.7 | Points Per Game | 1.9 |
| 5/10 | WIN | 5/10 |
| 2/10 | DRAW | 4/10 |
| 4/10 | Clean Sheets | 7/10 |
| 4/10 | BTTS | 3/10 |
| 6/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 5/10 |
| 1.5 | Average Scored | 1.7 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Merida are averaging 1.7 goals scored and 0.9 conceded per match, while Ourense average 2.0 scored and 0.9 conceded per game.



Racing Ferrol
Merida
Ourense
Girona
Sabadell
Atletico Madrid B
Eldense
CE Europa
Real Murcia
Teruel
FC Cartagena
Algeciras CF
Hercules
Villarreal B
Antequera
SD Tarazona
UD Ibiza
Alcorcon
Juventud Torremolinos CF
Sevilla Atletico
Atletico Sanluqueno
Betis Deportivo
Marbella FC