Our Merida vs Racing Ferrol Prediction: 2-1
Merida vs Racing Ferrol in the Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 1 is scheduled for an 17:30 GMT kick-off on Saturday March 28, 2026. A 2-1 result in favor of the hosts is our main pick, yet with both teams likely to get on the scoresheet, BTTS is another bet worth considering.
This Merida vs Racing Ferrol prediction is backed by a deep dive into both teams' recent performances, key stats and head-to-head history — all of which you'll find detailed below to help you make an informed betting decision.
→ View Today's Full-Time Score Predictions
Recent Form Insights
Merida's Last Match – Athletic Bilbao B vs Merida
Merida must win as they look to rediscover their winning form following a 1-1 Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 1 draw against Athletic Bilbao B on March 20. In that match, Merida recorded 48% possession, firing 5 shots on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Athletic Bilbao B | 52% | 0 (3) | - | 66 |
 Merida | 48% | 0 (5) | - | 111 |
Racing Ferrol's Last Match – Racing Ferrol vs Barakaldo
Racing Ferrol should win to turn things around after settling for a 0-0 Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 1 draw against Barakaldo on March 22. In that match, Racing Ferrol saw 44% of the ball and 1 shots on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Racing Ferrol | 44% | 0 (1) | - | 45 |
 Barakaldo | 56% | 0 (3) | - | 33 |
Merida vs Racing Ferrol Stats
Key Stats
| Merida | Racing Ferrol | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.2 | Attacking Strength | 0.89 |
| 1.09 | Defence Strength | 1.05 |
| 1.4 | Points Per Game | 1.2 |
| 3/10 | WIN | 3/10 |
| 5/10 | DRAW | 3/10 |
| 3/10 | Clean Sheets | 3/10 |
| 7/10 | BTTS | 5/10 |
| 3/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 4/10 |
| 1.1 | Average Scored | 1 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Merida are averaging 1.1 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per match, while Racing Ferrol average 1.0 scored and 1.2 conceded per game.
Merida 11-12
Racing Ferrol 10-12
What are the odds for this match?
Merida to win: @2.4
Draw: @3
Racing Ferrol to win: @3