Our Merthyr Town vs Alfreton Town Prediction: 2-1
Merthyr Town vs Alfreton Town in the England National League North is scheduled for an 15:00 GMT kick-off on Saturday November 22, 2025. Our forecast points to a 2-1 home win, but considering both teams’ recent scoring patterns, BTTS is a highly likely outcome.
This Merthyr Town vs Alfreton Town prediction is backed by a deep dive into both teams' recent performances, key stats and head-to-head history — all of which you'll find detailed below to help you make an informed betting decision.
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Recent Form Insights
Merthyr Town's Last Match – Merthyr Town vs Hanwell Town
After suffering a 2-3 England FA Trophy loss to Hanwell Town, Merthyr Town must win to get back on track.
Alfreton Town's Last Match – Gainsborough vs Alfreton Town
Alfreton Town will hope to extend their good run following a 2-1 England FA Trophy win against Gainsborough on November 18. In that match, Alfreton Town recorded 43% possession, firing 2 shots on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Gainsborough | 57% | 0 (2) | - | 50 |
 Alfreton Town | 43% | 0 (2) | - | 51 |
Merthyr Town vs Alfreton Town Stats
Key Stats
| Merthyr Town | Alfreton Town | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.94 | Attacking Strength | 0.55 |
| 1.37 | Defence Strength | 1.31 |
| 1.6 | Points Per Game | 1.4 |
| 5/10 | WIN | 4/10 |
| 1/10 | DRAW | 2/10 |
| 1/10 | Clean Sheets | 2/10 |
| 7/10 | BTTS | 5/10 |
| 7/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 4/10 |
| 2.4 | Average Scored | 0.9 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Merthyr Town are averaging 2.4 goals scored and 2.0 conceded per match, while Alfreton Town average 0.9 scored and 1.6 conceded per game.
Merthyr Town 24-20
Alfreton Town 9-16
What are the odds for this match?
Merthyr Town to win: @1.9
Draw: @3.5
Alfreton Town to win: @3.3
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