Our Lorient vs Metz Prediction: 4-1
Lorient vs Metz in the France Ligue 1 is scheduled for an 16:15 GMT kick-off on Sunday January 4, 2026. A 4-1 result in favor of the hosts is our top pick, yet with both sides creating chances, over 2.5 goals remains an appealing option.
This Lorient vs Metz prediction is backed by a deep dive into both teams' recent performances, key stats and head-to-head history — all of which you'll find detailed below to help you make an informed betting decision.
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Recent Form Insights
Lorient's Last Match – AS Gosier vs Lorient
Lorient will want to continue their winning form after a 7-0 France Cup victory over AS Gosier, knowing this is a must-win match for their campaign. In that match, Lorient controlled 77% of possession and managed 10 shots on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
AS Gosier | 23% | 0 (0) | - | 27 |
 Lorient | 77% | 0 (10) | - | 111 |
Metz's Last Match – Bieshiem vs Metz
Metz will aim to maintain their momentum following a 3-0 France Cup triumph against Bieshiem on December 20. In that match, Metz recorded 57% possession, firing 3 shots on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Bieshiem | 43% | 0 (4) | - | 46 |
 Metz | 57% | 0 (3) | - | 58 |
Lorient vs Metz Stats
Key Stats
| Lorient | Metz | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.4 | Attacking Strength | 0.93 |
| 1.24 | Defence Strength | 1.76 |
| 1.4 | Points Per Game | 1.2 |
| 3/10 | WIN | 4/10 |
| 5/10 | DRAW | 0/10 |
| 3/10 | Clean Sheets | 3/10 |
| 5/10 | BTTS | 5/10 |
| 4/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 7/10 |
| 1.7 | Average Scored | 1.5 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Lorient are averaging 1.7 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per match, while Metz average 1.5 scored and 2.1 conceded per game.
Lorient 17-12
Metz 15-21
What are the odds for this match?
Lorient to win: @1.8
Draw: @3.5
Metz to win: @4.75
Over 2.5 Goals: @1.875
Lineups
Lorient (3-4-3) : Yvon Mvogo, Igor Silva, Bamo Meite, Nathaniel Adjei, Joel Mvuka, Laurent Abergel, Noah Cadiou, Theo Le Bris, Jean-Victor Makengo, Sambou Soumano, Pablo Pagis
Metz (4-2-3-1) : Jonathan Fischer, Koffi Kouao, Maxime Colin, Sadibou Sane, Urie-Michel Mboula, Jessy Deminguet, Boubacar Traore, Malick Mbaye, Gauthier Hein, Georgiy Tsitaishvili, Ibou Sane
Lens 
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Metz