Our Mexico vs Iceland Prediction: 1-1
Mexico vs Iceland in the International Match is scheduled for an 02:00 GMT kick-off on Thursday February 26, 2026. Our forecast favors a 1-1 draw, with both sides expected to find the net, making BTTS a highly probable scenario.
This Mexico vs Iceland prediction is backed by a deep dive into both teams' recent performances, key stats and head-to-head history — all of which you'll find detailed below to help you make an informed betting decision.
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Recent Form Insights
Mexico's Last Match – Bolivia vs Mexico
Mexico will want to continue their winning form after a 1-0 International Match victory over Bolivia, knowing this is a must-win match for their campaign. In that match, Mexico saw 50% of the ball and 2 shots on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Bolivia | 50% | 0 (4) | 0.74 | 29 |
 Mexico | 50% | 0 (2) | 0.96 | 12 |
Iceland's Last Match – Ukraine vs Iceland
Iceland will be looking to bounce back after a 0-2 Europe - World Cup Qualifying defeat against Ukraine on November 16. In that match, Iceland recorded 48% possession, attempting 5 shots on goal, with 3 hitting the target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Ukraine | 52% | 13 (6) | 1.54 | 54 |
 Iceland | 48% | 5 (3) | 0.71 | 34 |
Mexico vs Iceland Stats
Key Stats
| Mexico | Iceland | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.57 | Attacking Strength | 0.84 |
| 1.21 | Defence Strength | 0.63 |
| 1.6 | Points Per Game | 1 |
| 4/10 | WIN | 3/10 |
| 4/10 | DRAW | 1/10 |
| 5/10 | Clean Sheets | 2/10 |
| 4/10 | BTTS | 6/10 |
| 4/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 7/10 |
| 0.9 | Average Scored | 1.8 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Mexico are averaging 0.9 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per match, while Iceland average 1.8 scored and 1.8 conceded per game.
Mexico 9-10
Iceland 18-18
What are the odds for this match?
Mexico to win: @1.444
Draw: @3.9
Iceland to win: @6.5