Our USA vs Mexico Prediction: 1-1
USA vs Mexico in the CONCACAF Gold Cup is scheduled for an 00:00 GMT kick-off on Monday July 7, 2025. A 1-1 result is our main prediction, but with both teams likely to score, BTTS is another strong betting choice.
Our prediction is supported by key USA vs Mexico stats, including attacking and defensive strength, recent form and historical results — all detailed below.
→ View Today's Correct Score Predictions
Recent Form Insights
USA's Last Match – USA vs Guatemala
USA will be eager to build on their previous performance after securing a 2-1 CONCACAF Gold Cup victory over Guatemala on July 3. In that match, USA recorded 49% possession, attempting 9 shots on goal, with 7 hitting the target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 USA | 49% | 9 (7) | 1.75 | 25 |
 Guatemala | 51% | 14 (5) | 1.31 | 42 |
Mexico's Last Match – Mexico vs Honduras
Determined to maintain their recent success, Mexico must win following their 1-0 CONCACAF Gold Cup victory against Honduras on July 3. In that match, Mexico saw 56% of the ball and created 6 goal attempts, with 4 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Mexico | 56% | 6 (4) | 1.25 | 25 |
 Honduras | 44% | 4 (1) | 0.09 | 32 |
USA vs Mexico Stats
Key Stats
| USA | Mexico | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.23 | Attacking Strength | 1.86 |
| 0.69 | Defence Strength | 0.31 |
| 1.6 | Points Per Game | 2.2 |
| 5/10 | WIN | 7/10 |
| 1/10 | DRAW | 1/10 |
| 3/10 | Clean Sheets | 6/10 |
| 5/10 | BTTS | 3/10 |
| 8/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 3/10 |
| 1.7 | Average Scored | 1.5 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
USA are averaging 1.7 goals scored and 1.3 conceded per match, while Mexico average 1.5 scored and 0.9 conceded per game.
USA 17-13
Mexico 15-9
What are the odds for this match?
USA to win: @3.25
Draw: @3
Mexico to win: @2.45