Our Middlesbrough vs Leicester Prediction: 3-1
Middlesbrough vs Leicester in the England Championship is scheduled for an 19:45 GMT kick-off on Tuesday February 24, 2026. A 3-1 win for the home side is our main prediction, though over 2.5 goals looks like a valuable bet given both teams’ attacking tendencies.
This Middlesbrough vs Leicester prediction is backed by a deep dive into both teams' recent performances, key stats and head-to-head history — all of which you'll find detailed below to help you make an informed betting decision.
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Recent Form Insights
Middlesbrough's Last Match – Middlesbrough vs Oxford Utd
Determined to get back to winning ways, Middlesbrough must win after their 0-0 England Championship draw against Oxford Utd on February 21. In that match, Middlesbrough recorded 74% possession, attempting 13 shots on goal, with 6 hitting the target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Middlesbrough | 74% | 13 (6) | 2.15 | 113 |
 Oxford Utd | 26% | 6 (2) | 0.81 | 33 |
Leicester's Last Match – Stoke vs Leicester
Leicester will seek to go one better this time following a 2-2 England Championship share of the spoils with Stoke on February 21. In that match, Leicester controlled 55% of possession and managed 11 shots on goal, with 5 hitting the target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Stoke | 45% | 9 (3) | 1.75 | 51 |
 Leicester | 55% | 11 (5) | 0.68 | 33 |
Middlesbrough vs Leicester Stats
Key Stats
| Middlesbrough | Leicester | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.26 | Attacking Strength | 1.2 |
| 0.69 | Defence Strength | 1.47 |
| 1.9 | Points Per Game | 0.8 |
| 6/10 | WIN | 2/10 |
| 1/10 | DRAW | 2/10 |
| 4/10 | Clean Sheets | 1/10 |
| 5/10 | BTTS | 8/10 |
| 7/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 7/10 |
| 1.8 | Average Scored | 1.4 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Middlesbrough are averaging 1.8 goals scored and 1.1 conceded per match, while Leicester average 1.4 scored and 1.8 conceded per game.
Middlesbrough 18-11
Leicester 14-18
What are the odds for this match?
Middlesbrough to win: @1.55
Draw: @4
Leicester to win: @6
Lineups
Middlesbrough (4-4-2) : Sol Brynn, Callum Brittain, Luke Ayling, Adilson Malanda, Matt Targett, Alan Browne, Aidan Morris, Hayden Hackney, Riley McGree, Morgan Whittaker, Tommy Conway
Leicester (4-2-3-1) : Asmir Begovic, Ricardo Pereira, Caleb Okoli, Ben Nelson, Luke Thomas, Harry Winks, Oliver Skipp, Bobby De Cordova-Reid, Divine Mukasa, Stephy Mavididi, Patson Daka