Our Derby vs Millwall Prediction: 2-1
Derby vs Millwall in the England Championship is scheduled for an 19:45 GMT kick-off on Wednesday December 10, 2025. We’re backing a 2-1 home win, but with both sides regularly hitting the scoreboard, BTTS is a strong option for bettors.
This Derby vs Millwall prediction is backed by a deep dive into both teams' recent performances, key stats and head-to-head history — all of which you'll find detailed below to help you make an informed betting decision.
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Recent Form Insights
Derby's Last Match – Swansea vs Derby
Derby will aim to maintain their momentum following a 2-1 England Championship triumph against Swansea on November 25. In that match, Derby recorded 33% possession, attempting 10 shots on goal, with 5 hitting the target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Swansea | 67% | 7 (4) | 0.63 | 71 |
 Derby | 33% | 10 (5) | 1.04 | 47 |
Millwall's Last Match – Portsmouth vs Millwall
After suffering a 1-3 England Championship loss to Portsmouth, Millwall must win to get back on track. In that match, Millwall controlled 49% of possession and managed 5 shots on goal, with 2 hitting the target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Portsmouth | 51% | 8 (6) | 0.92 | 53 |
 Millwall | 49% | 5 (2) | 0.49 | 34 |
Derby vs Millwall Stats
Key Stats
| Derby | Millwall | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.89 | Attacking Strength | 1.02 |
| 1.1 | Defence Strength | 1.49 |
| 2 | Points Per Game | 1.5 |
| 6/10 | WIN | 4/10 |
| 2/10 | DRAW | 3/10 |
| 2/10 | Clean Sheets | 3/10 |
| 7/10 | BTTS | 5/10 |
| 5/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 6/10 |
| 1.5 | Average Scored | 1.3 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Derby are averaging 1.5 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per match, while Millwall average 1.3 scored and 1.6 conceded per game.