Our Millwall vs Derby Prediction: 2-2
Millwall vs Derby in the England Championship is scheduled for an 19:45 GMT kick-off on Tuesday March 10, 2026. A 2-2 draw seems the most likely outcome, and with both teams showing attacking intent, BTTS is a solid alternative bet.
This Millwall vs Derby prediction is backed by a deep dive into both teams' recent performances, key stats and head-to-head history — all of which you'll find detailed below to help you make an informed betting decision.
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Recent Form Insights
Millwall's Last Match – Hull vs Millwall
Millwall will look to carry forward their winning form after a 3-1 England Championship success over Hull on March 7. In that match, Millwall recorded 44% possession, attempting 4 shots on goal, with 4 hitting the target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Hull | 56% | 10 (6) | 2.5 | 76 |
 Millwall | 44% | 4 (4) | 1.26 | 39 |
Derby's Last Match – Derby vs Sheff Wed
Determined to maintain their recent success, Derby must win following their 2-1 England Championship victory against Sheff Wed on March 7. In that match, Derby saw 55% of the ball and created 10 goal attempts, with 4 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Derby | 55% | 10 (4) | 2.11 | 53 |
 Sheff Wed | 45% | 5 (3) | 0.74 | 39 |
Millwall vs Derby Stats
Key Stats
| Millwall | Derby | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.25 | Attacking Strength | 1.5 |
| 0.92 | Defence Strength | 0.9 |
| 2.2 | Points Per Game | 1.9 |
| 7/10 | WIN | 6/10 |
| 1/10 | DRAW | 1/10 |
| 5/10 | Clean Sheets | 3/10 |
| 5/10 | BTTS | 6/10 |
| 6/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 6/10 |
| 2.1 | Average Scored | 1.9 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Millwall are averaging 2.1 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per match, while Derby average 1.9 scored and 1.2 conceded per game.
Millwall 21-8
Derby 19-12
What are the odds for this match?
Millwall to win: @1.95
Draw: @3.4
Derby to win: @3.8
Lineups
Millwall (4-2-3-1) : Anthony Patterson, Danny McNamara, Tristan Crama, Jake Cooper, Zak Sturge, Camiel Neghli, Billy Mitchell, Femi Azeez, Barry Bannan, Mihailo Ivanovic, Josh Coburn
Derby (4-2-3-1) : Josh Vickers, Joe Ward, Dion Sanderson, Matt Clarke, Derry Murkin, David Ozoh, Lewis Travis, Ben Brereton, Sammie Szmodics, Rhian Brewster, Patrick Agyemang
Coventry 
Middlesbrough 
Ipswich 
Millwall 
Hull 
Southampton 
Wrexham 
Derby 
Watford 
Norwich 
Birmingham 
QPR 
Preston 
Swansea 
Stoke 
Bristol City 
Sheff Utd 
Charlton 
Blackburn 
West Brom 
Portsmouth 
Leicester 
Oxford Utd 
Sheff Wed