Our Minnesota United vs Chicago Fire Prediction: 3-2
Minnesota United vs Chicago Fire in the USA MLS is scheduled for an 00:30 GMT kick-off on Sunday September 21, 2025. A 3-2 win for the home side is our main prediction, though over 2.5 goals looks like a valuable bet given both teams’ attacking tendencies.
This Minnesota United vs Chicago Fire prediction is backed by a deep dive into both teams' recent performances, key stats and head-to-head history — all of which you'll find detailed below to help you make an informed betting decision.
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Recent Form Insights
Minnesota United's Last Match – Minnesota United vs Austin FC
Minnesota United will be eager to respond after suffering a 1-2 USA US Open Cup defeat at the hands of Austin FC on September 18. In that match, Minnesota United saw 47% of the ball and created 14 goal attempts, with 6 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Minnesota United | 47% | 14 (6) | 1.55 | 85 |
 Austin FC | 53% | 11 (7) | 1.89 | 65 |
Chicago Fire's Last Match – Chicago Fire vs New York City FC
Chicago Fire will look to get back on track following a 1-3 USA MLS loss against New York City FC on September 14. In that match, Chicago Fire recorded 51% possession, attempting 8 shots on goal, with 4 hitting the target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Chicago Fire | 51% | 8 (4) | 0.99 | 37 |
 New York City FC | 49% | 9 (6) | 1.34 | 41 |
Minnesota United vs Chicago Fire Stats
Key Stats
| Minnesota United | Chicago Fire | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.17 | Attacking Strength | 1.59 |
| 0.83 | Defence Strength | 1.34 |
| 1.7 | Points Per Game | 1.4 |
| 5/10 | WIN | 4/10 |
| 2/10 | DRAW | 2/10 |
| 1/10 | Clean Sheets | 2/10 |
| 8/10 | BTTS | 7/10 |
| 7/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 8/10 |
| 1.9 | Average Scored | 1.6 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Minnesota United are averaging 1.9 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per match, while Chicago Fire average 1.6 scored and 2.0 conceded per game.
Minnesota United 19-14
Chicago Fire 16-20
What are the odds for this match?
Minnesota United to win: @2.05
Draw: @3.75
Chicago Fire to win: @3.3
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