Our Tampa Bay Rowdies vs Monterey Bay FC Prediction: 2-1
Tampa Bay Rowdies vs Monterey Bay FC in the USA USL Championship is scheduled for an 23:30 GMT kick-off on Saturday October 4, 2025. A 2-1 victory for the hosts is our top prediction, yet given both teams’ attacking form, BTTS seems like a smart betting choice.
This forecast is grounded in a thorough analysis of recent form, team statistics and historical matchups — all explored in detail below to support your betting decisions.
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Recent Form Insights
Tampa Bay Rowdies's Last Match – Loudoun United FC vs Tampa Bay Rowdies
Tampa Bay Rowdies will be determined to find a winning touch after a 2-2 USA USL Championship draw against Loudoun United FC on September 28. In that match, Tampa Bay Rowdies saw 39% of the ball and 6 shots on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Loudoun United FC | 61% | 0 (7) | 2.36 | 99 |
 Tampa Bay Rowdies | 39% | 0 (6) | 1.89 | 51 |
Monterey Bay FC's Last Match – Monterey Bay FC vs Sacramento Republic
Monterey Bay FC will want to continue their winning form after a 1-0 USA USL Championship victory over Sacramento Republic, knowing this is a must-win match for their campaign. In that match, Monterey Bay FC had 53% possession and 4 shots on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Monterey Bay FC | 53% | 0 (4) | 0.78 | 61 |
 Sacramento Republic | 47% | 0 (3) | 0.64 | 44 |
Tampa Bay Rowdies vs Monterey Bay FC Stats
Key Stats
| Tampa Bay Rowdies | Monterey Bay FC | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.07 | Attacking Strength | 0.41 |
| 1.55 | Defence Strength | 1.14 |
| 1.3 | Points Per Game | 0.6 |
| 3/10 | WIN | 1/10 |
| 4/10 | DRAW | 3/10 |
| 0/10 | Clean Sheets | 2/10 |
| 8/10 | BTTS | 5/10 |
| 7/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 5/10 |
| 1.8 | Average Scored | 0.8 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Tampa Bay Rowdies are averaging 1.8 goals scored and 1.7 conceded per match, while Monterey Bay FC average 0.8 scored and 1.6 conceded per game.
Tampa Bay Rowdies 18-17
Monterey Bay FC 8-16
What are the odds for this match?
Tampa Bay Rowdies to win: @1.6
Draw: @3.75
Monterey Bay FC to win: @5
Over 2.5 Goals: @1.875
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