Our Tigres UANL vs Monterrey Prediction: 3-1
Tigres UANL vs Monterrey in the Mexico Liga MX is scheduled for an 03:00 GMT kick-off on Sunday March 8, 2026. A 3-1 result in favor of the hosts is our top pick, yet with both sides creating chances, over 2.5 goals remains an appealing option.
This forecast is grounded in a thorough analysis of recent form, team statistics and historical matchups — all explored in detail below to support your betting decisions.
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Recent Form Insights
Tigres UANL's Last Match – Puebla vs Tigres UANL
Tigres UANL must win as they aim to bounce back from a disappointing 1-3 Mexico Liga MX defeat against Puebla on March 5. In that match, Tigres UANL recorded 61% possession, firing 10 shots at goal, with 4 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Puebla | 39% | 15 (12) | 1.62 | 18 |
 Tigres UANL | 61% | 10 (4) | 1.98 | 47 |
Monterrey's Last Match – Monterrey vs Queretaro
Monterrey will want to continue their winning form after a 4-0 Mexico Liga MX victory over Queretaro, knowing this is a must-win match for their campaign. In that match, Monterrey recorded 76% possession, attempting 16 shots on goal, with 7 hitting the target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Monterrey | 76% | 16 (7) | 1.6 | 48 |
 Queretaro | 24% | 4 (3) | 0.33 | 35 |
Tigres UANL vs Monterrey Stats
Key Stats
| Tigres UANL | Monterrey | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.4 | Attacking Strength | 1.31 |
| 0.74 | Defence Strength | 1.4 |
| 1.4 | Points Per Game | 1.7 |
| 4/10 | WIN | 5/10 |
| 2/10 | DRAW | 2/10 |
| 2/10 | Clean Sheets | 4/10 |
| 7/10 | BTTS | 3/10 |
| 7/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 3/10 |
| 1.8 | Average Scored | 1.7 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Tigres UANL are averaging 1.8 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per match, while Monterrey average 1.7 scored and 0.9 conceded per game.
Tigres UANL 18-12
Monterrey 17-9
What are the odds for this match?
Tigres UANL to win: @1.95
Draw: @3.5
Monterrey to win: @3.8
Over 2.5 Goals: @1.825
Lineups
Tigres UANL (4-2-3-1) : Nahuel Guzman, Jesus Garza, Romulo, Jesus Angulo, Vladimir Lorona, Joaquim, Cesar Araujo, Diego Lainez, Juan Francisco Brunetta, Angel Correa, Rodrigo Aguirre
Monterrey (4-1-4-1) : Luis Cardenas, Stefan Medina, Daniel Aceves, Victor Guzman, Gerardo Arteaga, Jorge Rodriguez, Luca Orellano, Iker Fimbres, Sergio Canales, Allen Rojas, Uros Djurdjevic