Our Nacional vs Alverca Prediction: 2-1
Nacional vs Alverca in the Portugal Primeira Liga is scheduled for an 14:30 GMT kick-off on Saturday April 18, 2026. We predict a 2-1 home victory, but with both teams showing attacking intent, BTTS (Both Teams to Score) is another strong betting option.
This Nacional vs Alverca prediction is backed by a deep dive into both teams' recent performances, key stats and head-to-head history — all of which you'll find detailed below to help you make an informed betting decision.
If you're looking for more top picks, check out our must-win fixtures for today to see which teams have the highest chance of securing victory!
Recent Form Insights
Nacional's Last Match – Benfica vs Nacional
Nacional will hope to recover from their recent 0-2 Portugal Primeira Liga setback against Benfica on April 12. In that match, Nacional recorded 42% possession, attempting 5 shots on goal, with 5 hitting the target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Benfica | 58% | 13 (6) | 3.42 | 79 |
Nacional | 42% | 5 (5) | 0.25 | 18 |
Alverca's Last Match – Alverca vs Casa Pia
Alverca must win to build on their momentum after securing a hard-fought 3-1 Portugal Primeira Liga victory over Casa Pia in their last outing. In that match, Alverca controlled 60% of possession and managed 11 shots on goal, with 5 hitting the target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Alverca | 60% | 11 (5) | 1.82 | 38 |
Casa Pia | 40% | 8 (4) | 0.65 | 49 |
Nacional vs Alverca Stats
Key Stats
| Nacional | Alverca | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.93 | Attacking Strength | 0.82 |
| 0.9 | Defence Strength | 1.26 |
| 0.5 | Points Per Game | 1.2 |
| 1/10 | WIN | 2/10 |
| 2/10 | DRAW | 6/10 |
| 2/10 | Clean Sheets | 1/10 |
| 3/10 | BTTS | 9/10 |
| 3/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 5/10 |
| 0.5 | Average Scored | 1.3 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Nacional are averaging 0.5 goals scored and 1.3 conceded per match, while Alverca average 1.3 scored and 1.4 conceded per game.
Nacional 5-13
Alverca 13-14
What are the odds for this match?
Nacional to win: @2.15
Draw: @3.4
Alverca to win: @3.25
Over 2.5 Goals: @1.9



Benfica
Nacional
Alverca
Casa Pia
FC Porto
Sporting
Benfica
Braga
Famalicao
Gil Vicente
Estoril
Moreirense
Guimaraes
Alverca
Rio Ave
Arouca
Estrela
Santa Clara
Nacional
Casa Pia
Tondela
AVS