Our Nairobi United vs Mara Sugar FC Prediction: 2-2
Nairobi United vs Mara Sugar FC in the Kenya Premier League is scheduled for an 13:00 GMT kick-off on Monday February 9, 2026. We expect a 2-2 result in a tightly contested match, with BTTS looking like a reliable bet given both teams’ recent scoring form.
This Nairobi United vs Mara Sugar FC prediction is backed by a deep dive into both teams' recent performances, key stats and head-to-head history — all of which you'll find detailed below to help you make an informed betting decision.
If you're looking for more top picks, check out our must-win fixtures for today to see which teams have the highest chance of securing victory!
Recent Form Insights
Nairobi United's Last Match – KCB vs Nairobi United
Nairobi United will want to continue their winning form after a 2-0 Kenya Premier League victory over KCB, knowing this is a must-win match for their campaign. In that match, Nairobi United saw 41% of the ball and 6 shots on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 KCB | 59% | 0 (3) | - | 135 |
Nairobi United | 41% | 0 (6) | - | 67 |
Mara Sugar FC's Last Match – Gor Mahia vs Mara Sugar FC
Mara Sugar FC will look to get back on track following a 0-3 Kenya Premier League loss against Gor Mahia on January 18. In that match, Mara Sugar FC had 32% possession and 1 shots on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Gor Mahia | 68% | 0 (4) | - | 46 |
Mara Sugar FC | 32% | 0 (1) | - | 33 |
Nairobi United vs Mara Sugar FC Stats
Key Stats
| Nairobi United | Mara Sugar FC | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.29 | Attacking Strength | 1.09 |
| 1.71 | Defence Strength | 1.41 |
| 1.2 | Points Per Game | 1 |
| 3/10 | WIN | 2/10 |
| 3/10 | DRAW | 4/10 |
| 2/10 | Clean Sheets | 3/10 |
| 4/10 | BTTS | 4/10 |
| 1/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 2/10 |
| 0.9 | Average Scored | 0.7 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Nairobi United are averaging 0.9 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per match, while Mara Sugar FC average 0.7 scored and 1.1 conceded per game.