Our Napoli vs AC Milan Prediction: 1-1
Napoli vs AC Milan in the Italy Super Cup is scheduled for an 19:00 GMT kick-off on Thursday December 18, 2025. Our analysis suggests a 1-1 stalemate, with both teams capable of scoring, reinforcing BTTS as a valuable choice.
This Napoli vs AC Milan prediction is backed by a deep dive into both teams' recent performances, key stats and head-to-head history — all of which you'll find detailed below to help you make an informed betting decision.
If you're looking for more top picks, check out our must-win fixtures for today to see which teams have the highest chance of securing victory!
Recent Form Insights
Napoli's Last Match – Udinese vs Napoli
Napoli will aim to put their last result behind them following a 0-1 Italy Serie A loss to Udinese on December 14. In that match, Napoli saw 62% of the ball and created 5 goal attempts, with 0 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Udinese | 38% | 10 (5) | 1.15 | 36 |
 Napoli | 62% | 5 (0) | 0.92 | 48 |
AC Milan's Last Match – AC Milan vs Sassuolo
AC Milan will be hoping to return to winning ways after a 2-2 Italy Serie A draw with Sassuolo on December 14. In that match, AC Milan controlled 58% of possession and managed 7 shots on goal, with 5 hitting the target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 AC Milan | 58% | 7 (5) | 1.33 | 56 |
 Sassuolo | 42% | 5 (3) | 1.07 | 41 |
Napoli vs AC Milan Stats
Key Stats
| Napoli | AC Milan | |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Attacking Strength | 1.25 |
| 0.38 | Defence Strength | 0.89 |
| 1.7 | Points Per Game | 2.2 |
| 5/10 | WIN | 6/10 |
| 2/10 | DRAW | 4/10 |
| 4/10 | Clean Sheets | 5/10 |
| 4/10 | BTTS | 5/10 |
| 4/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 6/10 |
| 1.3 | Average Scored | 1.7 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Napoli are averaging 0.9 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per match, while AC Milan average 1.5 scored and 1.1 conceded per game.