Our AC Milan vs Napoli Prediction: 1-1
AC Milan vs Napoli in the Italy Serie A is scheduled for an 18:45 GMT kick-off on Sunday September 28, 2025. Our forecast favors a 1-1 draw, with both sides expected to find the net, making BTTS a highly probable scenario.
Our prediction is supported by key AC Milan vs Napoli stats, including attacking and defensive strength, recent form and historical results — all detailed below.
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Recent Form Insights
AC Milan's Last Match – AC Milan vs Lecce
AC Milan must win to build on their momentum after securing a hard-fought 3-0 Coppa Italia victory over Lecce in their last outing. In that match, AC Milan saw 77% of the ball and 10 shots on target.
Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
---|---|---|---|---|
![]() | 77% | 0 (10) | 4.32 | 69 |
![]() | 23% | 0 (1) | 0.16 | 11 |
Napoli's Last Match – Napoli vs Pisa
Napoli will aim to maintain their momentum following a 3-2 Italy Serie A triumph against Pisa on September 22. In that match, Napoli controlled 64% of possession and managed 9 shots on goal, with 6 hitting the target.
Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
---|---|---|---|---|
![]() | 64% | 9 (6) | 1.07 | 45 |
![]() | 36% | 8 (6) | 2.6 | 22 |
AC Milan vs Napoli Stats
Key Stats
AC Milan | Napoli | |
---|---|---|
1.09 | Attacking Strength | 1.04 |
0.87 | Defence Strength | 0.55 |
2.2 | Points Per Game | 2.2 |
7/10 | WIN | 7/10 |
1/10 | DRAW | 1/10 |
6/10 | Clean Sheets | 3/10 |
4/10 | BTTS | 6/10 |
6/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 6/10 |
2.7 | Average Scored | 2 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
AC Milan are averaging 2.7 goals scored and 0.9 conceded per match, while Napoli average 2.0 scored and 1.1 conceded per game.
AC Milan 27-9
Napoli 20-11
What are the odds for this match?
AC Milan to win: @2.35
Draw: @3.1
Napoli to win: @3.2
Lineups
AC Milan (3-5-2) : Mike Maignan, Fikayo Tomori, Matteo Gabbia, Strahinja Pavlovic, Alexis Saelemaekers, Youssouf Fofana, Luka Modric, Adrien Rabiot, Pervis Estupinan, Santiago Gimenez, Christian Pulisic
Napoli (4-1-4-1) : Alex Meret, Giovanni Di Lorenzo, Luca Marianucci, Juan Jesus, Miguel Gutierrez, Stanislav Lobotka, Matteo Politano, Frank Anguissa, Kevin De Bruyne, Scott Mctominay, Rasmus Hojlund