Our Napoli vs AC Milan Prediction: 1-1
Napoli vs AC Milan in the Italy Serie A is scheduled for an 18:45 GMT kick-off on Monday April 6, 2026. A 1-1 draw seems the most likely outcome, and with both teams showing attacking intent, BTTS is a solid alternative bet.
This Napoli vs AC Milan prediction is backed by a deep dive into both teams' recent performances, key stats and head-to-head history — all of which you'll find detailed below to help you make an informed betting decision.
If you're looking for more top picks, check out our must-win fixtures for today to see which teams have the highest chance of securing victory!
Recent Form Insights
Napoli's Last Match – Cagliari vs Napoli
Napoli must win to build on their momentum after securing a hard-fought 1-0 Italy Serie A victory over Cagliari in their last outing. In that match, Napoli controlled 67% of possession and managed 8 shots on goal, with 5 hitting the target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Cagliari | 33% | 7 (0) | 0.31 | 27 |
 Napoli | 67% | 8 (5) | 1.76 | 53 |
AC Milan's Last Match – AC Milan vs Torino
AC Milan will be eager to build on their previous performance after securing a 3-2 Italy Serie A victory over Torino on March 21. In that match, AC Milan recorded 63% possession, firing 9 shots at goal, with 6 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 AC Milan | 63% | 9 (6) | 1.42 | 43 |
 Torino | 37% | 13 (7) | 2.21 | 40 |
Napoli vs AC Milan Stats
Key Stats
| Napoli | AC Milan | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.23 | Attacking Strength | 1.48 |
| 0.78 | Defence Strength | 0.54 |
| 2 | Points Per Game | 2 |
| 6/10 | WIN | 6/10 |
| 2/10 | DRAW | 2/10 |
| 1/10 | Clean Sheets | 4/10 |
| 9/10 | BTTS | 4/10 |
| 8/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 3/10 |
| 1.8 | Average Scored | 1.4 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Napoli are averaging 1.8 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per match, while AC Milan average 1.4 scored and 0.7 conceded per game.
Napoli 18-14
AC Milan 14-7
What are the odds for this match?
Napoli to win: @2.45
Draw: @3
AC Milan to win: @3.1
Lineups
Napoli (3-4-2-1) : Vanja Milinkovic-Savic, Juan Jesus, Alessandro Buongiorno, Mathias Olivera, Leonardo Spinazzola, Frank Anguissa, Stanislav Lobotka, Miguel Gutierrez, Kevin De Bruyne, Scott Mctominay, Giovane
AC Milan (3-5-2) : Mike Maignan, Fikayo Tomori, Koni De Winter, Strahinja Pavlovic, Alexis Saelemaekers, Luka Modric, Youssouf Fofana, Adrien Rabiot, Davide Bartesaghi, Christopher Nkunku, Niclas Fullkrug
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