Our Napoli vs Chelsea Prediction: 1-1
Napoli vs Chelsea in the UEFA Champions League is scheduled for an 20:00 GMT kick-off on Wednesday January 28, 2026. We expect a 1-1 result in a tightly contested match, with BTTS looking like a reliable bet given both teams’ recent scoring form.
This Napoli vs Chelsea prediction is backed by a deep dive into both teams' recent performances, key stats and head-to-head history — all of which you'll find detailed below to help you make an informed betting decision.
If you're looking for more top picks, check out our must-win fixtures for today to see which teams have the highest chance of securing victory!
Recent Form Insights
Napoli's Last Match – Juventus vs Napoli
Napoli will look to get back on track following a 0-3 Italy Serie A loss against Juventus on January 25. In that match, Napoli saw 58% of the ball and created 5 goal attempts, with 1 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Juventus | 42% | 10 (6) | 1.09 | 43 |
 Napoli | 58% | 5 (1) | 0.73 | 33 |
Chelsea's Last Match – Crystal Palace vs Chelsea
Determined to maintain their recent success, Chelsea must win following their 3-1 England Premier League victory against Crystal Palace on January 25. In that match, Chelsea recorded 57% possession, firing 8 shots at goal, with 6 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Crystal Palace | 43% | 9 (7) | 2.37 | 49 |
 Chelsea | 57% | 8 (6) | 2.2 | 37 |
Napoli vs Chelsea Stats
Key Stats
| Napoli | Chelsea | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.91 | Attacking Strength | 0.9 |
| 0.49 | Defence Strength | 0.81 |
| 1.8 | Points Per Game | 1.5 |
| 5/10 | WIN | 4/10 |
| 3/10 | DRAW | 3/10 |
| 6/10 | Clean Sheets | 2/10 |
| 2/10 | BTTS | 8/10 |
| 2/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 7/10 |
| 1.3 | Average Scored | 2.1 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Napoli are averaging 1.4 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per match, while Chelsea average 2.0 scored and 1.4 conceded per game.