Our Napoli vs Chelsea Prediction: 1-1
Napoli vs Chelsea in the UEFA Champions League is scheduled for an 20:00 GMT kick-off on Wednesday January 28, 2026. We expect a 1-1 result in a tightly contested match, with BTTS looking like a reliable bet given both teams’ recent scoring form.
This Napoli vs Chelsea prediction is backed by a deep dive into both teams' recent performances, key stats and head-to-head history — all of which you'll find detailed below to help you make an informed betting decision.
If you're looking for more top picks, check out our must-win fixtures for today to see which teams have the highest chance of securing victory!
Recent Form Insights
Napoli's Last Match – Napoli vs Sassuolo
Napoli will seek to keep their streak alive after a 1-0 Italy Serie A victory over Sassuolo on January 17. In that match, Napoli saw 53% of the ball and created 10 goal attempts, with 4 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Napoli | 53% | 10 (4) | 0.58 | 25 |
 Sassuolo | 47% | 10 (4) | 0.96 | 35 |
Chelsea's Last Match – Chelsea vs Brentford
Determined to maintain their recent success, Chelsea must win following their 2-0 England Premier League victory against Brentford on January 17. In that match, Chelsea recorded 46% possession, firing 4 shots at goal, with 2 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Chelsea | 46% | 4 (2) | 1.59 | 39 |
 Brentford | 54% | 10 (5) | 1.53 | 51 |
Napoli vs Chelsea Stats
Key Stats
| Napoli | Chelsea | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.91 | Attacking Strength | 0.9 |
| 0.49 | Defence Strength | 0.81 |
| 1.8 | Points Per Game | 1.5 |
| 5/10 | WIN | 4/10 |
| 3/10 | DRAW | 3/10 |
| 6/10 | Clean Sheets | 2/10 |
| 2/10 | BTTS | 8/10 |
| 2/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 7/10 |
| 1.3 | Average Scored | 2.1 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Napoli are averaging 1.3 goals scored and 0.7 conceded per match, while Chelsea average 2.1 scored and 1.4 conceded per game.