Our Napoli vs FK Qarabag Prediction: 3-1
Napoli vs FK Qarabag in the UEFA Champions League is scheduled for an 20:00 GMT kick-off on Tuesday November 25, 2025. A 3-1 result in favor of the hosts is our top pick, yet with both sides creating chances, over 2.5 goals remains an appealing option.
This Napoli vs FK Qarabag prediction is backed by a deep dive into both teams' recent performances, key stats and head-to-head history — all of which you'll find detailed below to help you make an informed betting decision.
If you're looking for more top picks, check out our must-win fixtures for today to see which teams have the highest chance of securing victory!
Recent Form Insights
Napoli's Last Match – Napoli vs Atalanta
Determined to maintain their recent success, Napoli must win following their 3-1 Italy Serie A victory against Atalanta on November 22. In that match, Napoli recorded 45% possession, firing 7 shots at goal, with 6 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Napoli | 45% | 7 (6) | 1.58 | 34 |
 Atalanta | 55% | 11 (3) | 0.82 | 49 |
FK Qarabag's Last Match – FK Sumqayit vs FK Qarabag
FK Qarabag will want to continue their winning form after a 4-2 Azerbaijan Premier League victory over FK Sumqayit, knowing this is a must-win match for their campaign. In that match, FK Qarabag saw 50% of the ball and 10 shots on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 FK Sumqayit | 50% | 0 (3) | - | 61 |
 FK Qarabag | 50% | 0 (10) | - | 81 |
Napoli vs FK Qarabag Stats
Key Stats
| Napoli | FK Qarabag | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.02 | Attacking Strength | 1.44 |
| 0.65 | Defence Strength | 1.34 |
| 1.7 | Points Per Game | 2.3 |
| 5/10 | WIN | 7/10 |
| 2/10 | DRAW | 2/10 |
| 3/10 | Clean Sheets | 6/10 |
| 5/10 | BTTS | 4/10 |
| 5/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 4/10 |
| 1.3 | Average Scored | 1.8 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Napoli are averaging 1.3 goals scored and 1.3 conceded per match, while FK Qarabag average 1.8 scored and 0.8 conceded per game.
Napoli 13-13
FK Qarabag 18-8
What are the odds for this match?
Napoli to win: @1.285
Draw: @5.75
FK Qarabag to win: @9
Lineups
Napoli (3-4-2-1) : Vanja Milinkovic-Savic, Sam Beukema, Amir Rrahmani, Alessandro Buongiorno, Giovanni Di Lorenzo, Stanislav Lobotka, Scott Mctominay, Mathias Olivera, David Neres, Noa Lang, Rasmus Hojlund
FK Qarabag (4-2-3-1) : Mateusz Kochalski, Matheus Silva, Bahlul Mustafazada, Kevin Medina, Elvin Cafarquliyev, Pedro Bicalho, Marko Jankovic, Leandro Andrade, Abdellah Zoubir, Emmanuel Addai, Camilo Duran