Our Napoli vs FK Qarabag Prediction: 3-1
Napoli vs FK Qarabag in the UEFA Champions League is scheduled for an 20:00 GMT kick-off on Tuesday November 25, 2025. A 3-1 result in favor of the hosts is our top pick, yet with both sides creating chances, over 2.5 goals remains an appealing option.
This Napoli vs FK Qarabag prediction is backed by a deep dive into both teams' recent performances, key stats and head-to-head history — all of which you'll find detailed below to help you make an informed betting decision.
If you're looking for more top picks, check out our must-win fixtures for today to see which teams have the highest chance of securing victory!
Recent Form Insights
Napoli's Last Match – Napoli vs Eintracht Frankfurt
Determined to get back to winning ways, Napoli must win after their 0-0 UEFA Champions League draw against Eintracht Frankfurt on November 4. In that match, Napoli recorded 64% possession, firing 9 shots at goal, with 3 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Napoli | 64% | 9 (3) | 1.7 | 70 |
 Eintracht Frankfurt | 36% | 4 (3) | 0.36 | 28 |
FK Qarabag's Last Match – FK Qarabag vs Chelsea
FK Qarabag should win to turn things around after settling for a 2-2 UEFA Champions League draw against Chelsea on November 5. In that match, FK Qarabag saw 39% of the ball and created 6 goal attempts, with 3 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 FK Qarabag | 39% | 6 (3) | 1.65 | 28 |
 Chelsea | 61% | 11 (4) | 1.07 | 52 |
Napoli vs FK Qarabag Stats
Key Stats
| Napoli | FK Qarabag | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.02 | Attacking Strength | 1.44 |
| 0.65 | Defence Strength | 1.34 |
| 1.7 | Points Per Game | 2.3 |
| 5/10 | WIN | 7/10 |
| 2/10 | DRAW | 2/10 |
| 3/10 | Clean Sheets | 6/10 |
| 6/10 | BTTS | 4/10 |
| 6/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 5/10 |
| 1.4 | Average Scored | 2 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Napoli are averaging 1.4 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per match, while FK Qarabag average 2.0 scored and 0.8 conceded per game.
Napoli 14-14
FK Qarabag 20-8
What are the odds for this match?
Napoli to win: @1.25
Draw: @5.75
FK Qarabag to win: @11
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