Our Napoli vs Lecce Prediction: 2-1
Napoli vs Lecce in the Italy Serie A is scheduled for an 17:00 GMT kick-off on Saturday March 14, 2026. We predict a 2-1 home victory, but with both teams showing attacking intent, BTTS (Both Teams to Score) is another strong betting option.
This Napoli vs Lecce prediction is backed by a deep dive into both teams' recent performances, key stats and head-to-head history — all of which you'll find detailed below to help you make an informed betting decision.
If you're looking for more top picks, check out our must-win fixtures for today to see which teams have the highest chance of securing victory!
Recent Form Insights
Napoli's Last Match – Napoli vs Torino
Napoli will aim to maintain their momentum following a 2-1 Italy Serie A triumph against Torino on March 6. In that match, Napoli controlled 64% of possession and managed 12 shots on goal, with 9 hitting the target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Napoli | 64% | 12 (9) | 1.25 | 57 |
 Torino | 36% | 4 (4) | 0.36 | 19 |
Lecce's Last Match – Lecce vs Cremonese
Determined to maintain their recent success, Lecce must win following their 2-1 Italy Serie A victory against Cremonese on March 8. In that match, Lecce recorded 41% possession, attempting 6 shots on goal, with 3 hitting the target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Lecce | 41% | 6 (3) | 1.59 | 29 |
 Cremonese | 59% | 8 (5) | 0.95 | 49 |
Napoli vs Lecce Stats
Key Stats
| Napoli | Lecce | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.3 | Attacking Strength | 0.6 |
| 0.77 | Defence Strength | 1.07 |
| 1.5 | Points Per Game | 1 |
| 4/10 | WIN | 3/10 |
| 3/10 | DRAW | 1/10 |
| 0/10 | Clean Sheets | 2/10 |
| 9/10 | BTTS | 4/10 |
| 8/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 4/10 |
| 1.6 | Average Scored | 0.8 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Napoli are averaging 1.6 goals scored and 1.7 conceded per match, while Lecce average 0.8 scored and 1.2 conceded per game.
Napoli 16-17
Lecce 8-12
What are the odds for this match?
Napoli to win: @1.333
Draw: @4.75
Lecce to win: @10