Our New Mexico United vs Las Vegas Lights FC Prediction: 2-0
New Mexico United vs Las Vegas Lights FC in the USA USL Championship is scheduled for an 01:00 GMT kick-off on Sunday August 17, 2025. Our correct score prediction favors a 2-1 home triumph, but considering both teams’ ability to find the net, BTTS is also a solid alternative bet.
This New Mexico United vs Las Vegas Lights FC prediction is backed by a deep dive into both teams' recent performances, key stats and head-to-head history — all of which you'll find detailed below to help you make an informed betting decision.
If you're looking for more top picks, check out our must-win fixtures for today to see which teams have the highest chance of securing victory!
Recent Form Insights
New Mexico United's Last Match – Tulsa vs New Mexico United
New Mexico United will be eager to respond after suffering a 2-5 USA USL Championship defeat at the hands of Tulsa on August 10. In that match, New Mexico United controlled 70% of possession and managed 6 shots on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Tulsa | 30% | 0 (7) | 1.96 | 27 |
 New Mexico United | 70% | 0 (6) | 0.85 | 71 |
Las Vegas Lights FC's Last Match – Las Vegas Lights FC vs San Antonio FC
Determined to get back to winning ways, Las Vegas Lights FC must win after their 1-1 USA USL Championship draw against San Antonio FC on August 10. In that match, Las Vegas Lights FC recorded 36% possession and 1 shots hitting the target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Las Vegas Lights FC | 36% | 0 (1) | 1.54 | 34 |
 San Antonio FC | 64% | 0 (3) | 0.95 | 21 |
New Mexico United vs Las Vegas Lights FC Stats
Key Stats
| New Mexico United | Las Vegas Lights FC | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.94 | Attacking Strength | 0.41 |
| 0.98 | Defence Strength | 1.54 |
| 0.7 | Points Per Game | 1 |
| 1/10 | WIN | 3/10 |
| 4/10 | DRAW | 1/10 |
| 0/10 | Clean Sheets | 3/10 |
| 8/10 | BTTS | 2/10 |
| 8/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 5/10 |
| 1.6 | Average Scored | 0.9 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
New Mexico United are averaging 1.6 goals scored and 2.4 conceded per match, while Las Vegas Lights FC average 0.9 scored and 2.4 conceded per game.
New Mexico United 16-24
Las Vegas Lights FC 9-24
What are the odds for this match?
New Mexico United to win: @1.48
Draw: @4.1
Las Vegas Lights FC to win: @5.75