Our New Mexico United vs North Carolina FC Prediction: 2-1
New Mexico United vs North Carolina FC in the USA USL Championship is scheduled for an 01:00 GMT kick-off on Sunday April 13, 2025. A 2-1 victory for the hosts is our top prediction, yet given both teams’ attacking form, BTTS seems like a smart betting choice.
This New Mexico United vs North Carolina FC prediction is backed by a deep dive into both teams' recent performances, key stats and head-to-head history — all of which you'll find detailed below to help you make an informed betting decision.
If you're looking for more top picks, check out our must-win fixtures for today to see which teams have the highest chance of securing victory!
Recent Form Insights
New Mexico United's Last Match – Miami FC vs New Mexico United
New Mexico United will want to continue their winning form after a 1-0 USA USL Championship victory over Miami FC, knowing this is a must-win match for their campaign. In that match, New Mexico United recorded 65% possession and 4 shots hitting the target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Miami FC | 35% | 0 (5) | 1.13 | 75 |
 New Mexico United | 65% | 0 (4) | 0.83 | 64 |
North Carolina FC's Last Match – Indy Eleven vs North Carolina FC
North Carolina FC will aim to turn their fortunes around after a 2-2 USA USL Championship draw with Indy Eleven on April 5. In that match, North Carolina FC saw 52% of the ball and 2 shots on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Indy Eleven | 48% | 0 (6) | 1.15 | 75 |
 North Carolina FC | 52% | 0 (2) | 0.69 | 46 |
New Mexico United vs North Carolina FC Stats
Key Stats
| New Mexico United | North Carolina FC | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.13 | Attacking Strength | 1.13 |
| 1.13 | Defence Strength | 1.06 |
| 1.4 | Points Per Game | 1.7 |
| 4/10 | WIN | 5/10 |
| 2/10 | DRAW | 2/10 |
| 3/10 | Clean Sheets | 3/10 |
| 6/10 | BTTS | 7/10 |
| 5/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 6/10 |
| 1.2 | Average Scored | 1.7 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
New Mexico United are averaging 1.2 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per match, while North Carolina FC average 1.7 scored and 1.4 conceded per game.
New Mexico United 12-12
North Carolina FC 17-14
What are the odds for this match?
New Mexico United to win: @2.2
Draw: @3.2
North Carolina FC to win: @3
Over 2.5 Goals: @1.95