Our Melbourne Victory vs Newcastle Jets Prediction: 2-2
Melbourne Victory vs. Newcastle Jets in the Australia A-League is scheduled for an 08:00 GMT kick-off on Sunday May 4, 2025. A 2-2 result is our main prediction, but with both teams likely to score, BTTS is another strong betting choice.
This Melbourne Victory vs Newcastle Jets prediction is backed by a deep dive into both teams' recent performances, key stats and head-to-head history — all of which you'll find detailed below to help you make an informed betting decision.
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Recent Form Insights
Melbourne Victory's Last Match – Macarthur FC vs Melbourne Victory
Melbourne Victory will aim to maintain their momentum following a 2-1 Australia A-League triumph against Macarthur FC on April 25. In that match, Melbourne Victory had 50% possession and 9 attempts at goal, with 5 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Macarthur FC | 50% | 14 (5) | 2.01 | 50 |
 Melbourne Victory | 50% | 9 (5) | 0.73 | 59 |
Newcastle Jets's Last Match – Newcastle Jets vs Western Sydney Wanderers
Newcastle Jets will be eager to respond after suffering a 0-1 Australia A-League defeat at the hands of Western Sydney Wanderers on April 26. In that match, Newcastle Jets controlled 40% of possession and managed 6 shots on goal, with 1 hitting the target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Newcastle Jets | 40% | 6 (1) | 0.66 | 46 |
 Western Sydney Wanderers | 60% | 10 (6) | 1.97 | 56 |
Melbourne Victory vs Newcastle Jets Stats
Key Stats
| Melbourne Victory | Newcastle Jets | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.22 | Attacking Strength | 1.1 |
| 0.9 | Defence Strength | 0.93 |
| 1.7 | Points Per Game | 1.4 |
| 5/10 | WIN | 4/10 |
| 2/10 | DRAW | 2/10 |
| 2/10 | Clean Sheets | 2/10 |
| 6/10 | BTTS | 7/10 |
| 7/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 7/10 |
| 1.9 | Average Scored | 2.1 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Melbourne Victory are averaging 1.9 goals scored and 1.8 conceded per match, while Newcastle Jets average 2.1 scored and 1.8 conceded per game.
Melbourne Victory 19-18
Newcastle Jets 21-18
What are the odds for this match?
Melbourne Victory to win: @1.45
Draw: @5
Newcastle Jets to win: @5.75
Lineups
Melbourne Victory (4-3-3) : Jack Duncan, Kasey Bos, Lachlan Jackson, Roderick Miranda, Joshua Inserra, Ryan Teague, Zinedine Machach, Jordi Valadon, Daniel Arzani, Nikos Vergos, Nishan Velupillay
Newcastle Jets (4-1-3-2) : Ryan Scott, Thomas Kevin Aquilina, Phillip Cancar, Mark Natta, Daniel Wilmering, Callum Timmins, Kota Mizunuma, Charles M'Mombwa, Clayton Taylor, Elizabeth Adams, Lachlan Rose
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