Our Newcastle vs Aston Villa Prediction: 2-1
Newcastle vs Aston Villa in the England Premier League is scheduled for an 14:00 GMT kick-off on Sunday January 25, 2026. A 2-1 win for the home side is our expected outcome, though BTTS looks promising given both teams’ recent scoring records.
This Newcastle vs Aston Villa prediction is backed by a deep dive into both teams' recent performances, key stats and head-to-head history — all of which you'll find detailed below to help you make an informed betting decision.
If you're looking for more top picks, check out our must-win fixtures for today to see which teams have the highest chance of securing victory!
Recent Form Insights
Newcastle's Last Match – Newcastle vs Bournemouth
Newcastle will be hoping to return to winning ways after a 3-3 England FA Cup draw with Bournemouth on January 10. In that match, Newcastle recorded 63% possession, attempting 16 shots on goal, with 7 hitting the target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Newcastle | 63% | 16 (7) | 3.85 | 82 |
Bournemouth | 37% | 15 (13) | 2.46 | 41 |
Aston Villa's Last Match – Tottenham vs Aston Villa
Determined to maintain their recent success, Aston Villa must win following their 2-1 England FA Cup victory against Tottenham on January 10. In that match, Aston Villa controlled 60% of possession and managed 14 shots on goal, with 8 hitting the target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Tottenham | 40% | 10 (5) | 0.74 | 47 |
Aston Villa | 60% | 14 (8) | 1.33 | 45 |
Newcastle vs Aston Villa Stats
Key Stats
| Newcastle | Aston Villa | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.28 | Attacking Strength | 1.22 |
| 0.98 | Defence Strength | 0.96 |
| 1.8 | Points Per Game | 2.5 |
| 5/10 | WIN | 8/10 |
| 3/10 | DRAW | 1/10 |
| 1/10 | Clean Sheets | 1/10 |
| 7/10 | BTTS | 9/10 |
| 7/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 9/10 |
| 2 | Average Scored | 2.1 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Newcastle are averaging 2.0 goals scored and 1.5 conceded per match, while Aston Villa average 2.1 scored and 1.5 conceded per game.
Newcastle 20-15
Aston Villa 21-15
What are the odds for this match?
Newcastle to win: @2
Draw: @3.6
Aston Villa to win: @3.4



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