Our Man Utd vs Newcastle Prediction: 1-1
Man Utd vs Newcastle in the England Premier League is scheduled for an 20:00 GMT kick-off on Friday December 26, 2025. Our analysis suggests a 1-1 stalemate, with both teams capable of scoring, reinforcing BTTS as a valuable choice.
This Man Utd vs Newcastle prediction is backed by a deep dive into both teams' recent performances, key stats and head-to-head history — all of which you'll find detailed below to help you make an informed betting decision.
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Recent Form Insights
Man Utd's Last Match – Aston Villa vs Man Utd
Man Utd will aim to put their last result behind them following a 1-2 England Premier League loss to Aston Villa on December 21. In that match, Man Utd recorded 57% possession, firing 12 shots at goal, with 6 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Aston Villa | 43% | 6 (4) | 1.02 | 16 |
 Man Utd | 57% | 12 (6) | 1.31 | 67 |
Newcastle's Last Match – Newcastle vs Chelsea
Newcastle should win to turn things around after settling for a 2-2 England Premier League draw against Chelsea on December 20. In that match, Newcastle controlled 47% of possession and managed 11 shots on goal, with 5 hitting the target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Newcastle | 47% | 11 (5) | 2.25 | 47 |
 Chelsea | 53% | 10 (4) | 1.25 | 42 |
Man Utd vs Newcastle Stats
Key Stats
| Man Utd | Newcastle | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.17 | Attacking Strength | 0.64 |
| 1.12 | Defence Strength | 0.78 |
| 1.6 | Points Per Game | 1.5 |
| 4/10 | WIN | 4/10 |
| 4/10 | DRAW | 3/10 |
| 0/10 | Clean Sheets | 0/10 |
| 9/10 | BTTS | 9/10 |
| 8/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 9/10 |
| 2.2 | Average Scored | 1.8 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Man Utd are averaging 2.2 goals scored and 1.7 conceded per match, while Newcastle average 1.8 scored and 1.6 conceded per game.
Man Utd 22-17
Newcastle 18-16
What are the odds for this match?
Man Utd to win: @2.5
Draw: @3.6
Newcastle to win: @2.625
Lineups
Man Utd (3-4-2-1) : Senne Lammens, Lisandro Martinez, Ayden Heaven, Luke Shaw, Diogo Dalot, Manuel Ugarte, Casemiro, Patrick Dorgu, Mason Mount, Matheus Cunha, Benjamin Sesko
Newcastle (4-3-3) : Aaron Ramsdale, Lewis Miley, Malick Thiaw, Fabian Schar, Lewis Hall, Bruno Guimaraes, Sandro Tonali, Jacob Ramsey, Jacob Murphy, Nick Woltemade, Anthony Gordon
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