Our Newcastle vs Nottm Forest Prediction: 3-1
Newcastle vs Nottm Forest in the England Premier League is scheduled for an 13:00 GMT kick-off on Sunday October 5, 2025. A 3-1 win for the home side is our expected outcome, though over 2.5 goals could be a valuable alternative given both teams' scoring form.
This Newcastle vs Nottm Forest prediction is backed by a deep dive into both teams' recent performances, key stats and head-to-head history — all of which you'll find detailed below to help you make an informed betting decision.
If you're looking for more top picks, check out our must-win fixtures for today to see which teams have the highest chance of securing victory!
Recent Form Insights
Newcastle's Last Match – Union Saint Gilloise vs Newcastle
Newcastle will hope to extend their good run following a 4-0 UEFA Champions League win against Union Saint Gilloise on October 1. In that match, Newcastle had 57% possession and 10 attempts at goal, with 6 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Union Saint Gilloise | 43% | 11 (6) | 0.86 | 38 |
 Newcastle | 57% | 10 (6) | 2.71 | 37 |
Nottm Forest's Last Match – Nottm Forest vs Midtjylland
After suffering a 2-3 UEFA Europa League loss to Midtjylland, Nottm Forest must win to get back on track. In that match, Nottm Forest controlled 61% of possession and managed 14 shots on goal, with 9 hitting the target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Nottm Forest | 61% | 14 (9) | 1.92 | 64 |
 Midtjylland | 39% | 4 (5) | 2.09 | 29 |
Newcastle vs Nottm Forest Stats
Key Stats
| Newcastle | Nottm Forest | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.64 | Attacking Strength | 1.15 |
| 0.79 | Defence Strength | 1.23 |
| 1.2 | Points Per Game | 0.7 |
| 3/10 | WIN | 1/10 |
| 3/10 | DRAW | 4/10 |
| 5/10 | Clean Sheets | 1/10 |
| 4/10 | BTTS | 6/10 |
| 5/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 6/10 |
| 1.3 | Average Scored | 1.1 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Newcastle are averaging 1.3 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per match, while Nottm Forest average 1.1 scored and 1.8 conceded per game.
Newcastle 13-10
Nottm Forest 11-18
What are the odds for this match?
Newcastle to win: @1.55
Draw: @4.333
Nottm Forest to win: @5.5
Over 2.5 Goals: @1.825
Lineups
Newcastle (4-3-3) : Nick Pope, Kieran Trippier, Malick Thiaw, Sven Botman, Dan Burn, Bruno Guimaraes, Sandro Tonali, Joelinton, Anthony Elanga, Nick Woltemade, Anthony Gordon
Nottm Forest (3-4-3) : Matz Sels, Nikola Milenkovic, Jair Cunha, Morato, Nicolo Savona, Elliot Anderson, Ryan Yates, Neco Williams, Dan Ndoye, Chris Wood, Morgan Gibbs-White
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