Our Monaco vs Nice Prediction: 4-1
Monaco vs Nice in the France Ligue 1 is scheduled for an 15:15 GMT kick-off on Sunday October 5, 2025. A 4-1 result in favor of the hosts is our top pick, yet with both sides creating chances, over 2.5 goals remains an appealing option.
This Monaco vs Nice prediction is backed by a deep dive into both teams' recent performances, key stats and head-to-head history — all of which you'll find detailed below to help you make an informed betting decision.
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Recent Form Insights
Monaco's Last Match – Monaco vs Man City
Monaco will be hoping to return to winning ways after a 2-2 UEFA Champions League draw with Man City on October 1. In that match, Monaco recorded 28% possession, attempting 9 shots on goal, with 3 hitting the target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Monaco | 28% | 9 (3) | 1.44 | 44 |
 Man City | 72% | 15 (6) | 1.43 | 77 |
Nice's Last Match – Fenerbahce vs Nice
Nice will be eager to respond after suffering a 1-2 UEFA Europa League defeat at the hands of Fenerbahce on October 2. In that match, Nice saw 40% of the ball and created 6 goal attempts, with 3 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Fenerbahce | 60% | 12 (4) | 1.58 | 62 |
 Nice | 40% | 6 (3) | 1.21 | 23 |
Monaco vs Nice Stats
Key Stats
| Monaco | Nice | |
|---|---|---|
| 2 | Attacking Strength | 1.21 |
| 0.68 | Defence Strength | 1.19 |
| 1.4 | Points Per Game | 0.7 |
| 4/10 | WIN | 2/10 |
| 2/10 | DRAW | 1/10 |
| 0/10 | Clean Sheets | 1/10 |
| 9/10 | BTTS | 6/10 |
| 9/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 5/10 |
| 2 | Average Scored | 0.9 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Monaco are averaging 2.0 goals scored and 2.0 conceded per match, while Nice average 0.9 scored and 1.8 conceded per game.
Monaco 20-20
Nice 9-18
What are the odds for this match?
Monaco to win: @1.75
Draw: @3.8
Nice to win: @4.333
Lineups
Monaco (4-2-3-1) : Philipp Kohn, Krepin Diatta, Eric Dier, Mohammed Salisu, Kassoum Ouattara, Jordan Teze, Mamadou Coulibaly, Maghnes Akliouche, Takumi Minamino, Ansu Fati, Mika Biereth
Nice (3-4-1-2) : Yehvann Diouf, Melvin Bard, Moise Bombito, Antoine Mendy, Jonathan Clauss, Charles Vanhoutte, Hichem Boudaoui, Ali Abdi, Sofiane Diop, Mohamed-Ali Cho, Terem Moffi