Our Uganda vs Nigeria Prediction: 0-1
Uganda vs Nigeria in the Africa Cup of Nations is scheduled for an 16:00 GMT kick-off on Tuesday December 30, 2025. We predict a narrow 0-1 victory for Nigeria, as their solid defense and clinical finishing could be enough to edge past Uganda.
Our prediction is supported by key Uganda vs Nigeria stats, including attacking and defensive strength, recent form and historical results — all detailed below.
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Recent Form Insights
Uganda's Last Match – Uganda vs Tanzania
Uganda will aim to turn their fortunes around after a 1-1 Africa Cup of Nations draw with Tanzania on December 27. In that match, Uganda had 55% possession and 13 attempts at goal, with 6 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Uganda | 55% | 13 (6) | 1.45 | 41 |
 Tanzania | 45% | 8 (1) | 1.45 | 32 |
Nigeria's Last Match – Nigeria vs Tunisia
Nigeria will want to continue their winning form after a 3-2 Africa Cup of Nations victory over Tunisia, knowing this is a must-win match for their campaign. In that match, Nigeria recorded 60% possession, firing 9 shots at goal, with 5 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Nigeria | 60% | 9 (5) | 2.09 | 45 |
 Tunisia | 40% | 6 (2) | 1.09 | 51 |
Uganda vs Nigeria Stats
Key Stats
| Uganda | Nigeria | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.42 | Attacking Strength | 1.14 |
| 1.42 | Defence Strength | 0.56 |
| 1.4 | Points Per Game | 2.3 |
| 4/10 | WIN | 7/10 |
| 2/10 | DRAW | 2/10 |
| 4/10 | Clean Sheets | 3/10 |
| 4/10 | BTTS | 7/10 |
| 5/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 6/10 |
| 1.5 | Average Scored | 2.1 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Uganda are averaging 1.5 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per match, while Nigeria average 2.1 scored and 0.9 conceded per game.
Uganda 15-14
Nigeria 21-9
What are the odds for this match?
Uganda to win: @3.8
Draw: @3.1
Nigeria to win: @2.15
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