Our Luton vs Northampton Prediction: 3-1
Luton vs Northampton in the England EFL Trophy is scheduled for an 19:30 GMT kick-off on Wednesday March 4, 2026. We predict a 3-1 home victory, but with both teams posing an attacking threat, over 2.5 goals is another solid betting option.
This Luton vs Northampton prediction is backed by a deep dive into both teams' recent performances, key stats and head-to-head history — all of which you'll find detailed below to help you make an informed betting decision.
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Recent Form Insights
Luton's Last Match – Luton vs Plymouth
Determined to maintain their recent success, Luton must win following their 2-1 England EFL Trophy victory against Plymouth on February 24. In that match, Luton saw 60% of the ball and created 11 goal attempts, with 7 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Luton | 60% | 11 (7) | 1.91 | 46 |
 Plymouth | 40% | 8 (3) | 0.91 | 59 |
Northampton's Last Match – Northampton vs Port Vale
Northampton must win as they aim to bounce back from a disappointing 0-1 England League 1 defeat against Port Vale on February 24. In that match, Northampton controlled 60% of possession and managed 0 shots on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Northampton | 60% | 0 (0) | 0.46 | 59 |
 Port Vale | 40% | 0 (2) | 0.75 | 32 |
Luton vs Northampton Stats
Key Stats
| Luton | Northampton | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.44 | Attacking Strength | 0.83 |
| 0.69 | Defence Strength | 1.03 |
| 1.1 | Points Per Game | 0.8 |
| 3/10 | WIN | 2/10 |
| 2/10 | DRAW | 2/10 |
| 1/10 | Clean Sheets | 1/10 |
| 6/10 | BTTS | 5/10 |
| 5/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 6/10 |
| 1 | Average Scored | 0.9 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Luton are averaging 1.0 goals scored and 1.3 conceded per match, while Northampton average 0.9 scored and 1.7 conceded per game.
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