Our Nova Iguacu vs Lagarto Prediction: 3-1
Nova Iguacu vs Lagarto in the Copa do Brasil is scheduled for an 22:00 GMT kick-off on Wednesday March 4, 2026. A 3-1 win for the home side is our main prediction, though over 2.5 goals looks like a valuable bet given both teams’ attacking tendencies.
This Nova Iguacu vs Lagarto prediction is backed by a deep dive into both teams' recent performances, key stats and head-to-head history — all of which you'll find detailed below to help you make an informed betting decision.
If you're looking for more top picks, check out our must-win fixtures for today to see which teams have the highest chance of securing victory!
Recent Form Insights
Nova Iguacu's Last Match – Marica RJ vs Nova Iguacu
Nova Iguacu will look to build on their last result following a 2-2 Brazil Campeonato Carioca stalemate against Marica RJ on March 1. In that match, Nova Iguacu controlled 59% of possession and managed 2 shots on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Marica RJ | 41% | 0 (2) | 0.7 | 39 |
 Nova Iguacu | 59% | 0 (2) | 1.42 | 37 |
Lagarto's Last Match – Lagarto vs America FC Propria
Lagarto must win to recover from their recent 0-3 Brazil Campeonato Sergipano defeat against America FC Propria on February 22 and regain momentum. In that match, Lagarto saw 62% of the ball and 3 shots on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Lagarto | 62% | 0 (3) | - | 101 |
America FC Propria | 38% | 0 (4) | - | 62 |
Nova Iguacu vs Lagarto Stats
Key Stats
| Nova Iguacu | Lagarto | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.1 | Attacking Strength | 0.91 |
| 1.37 | Defence Strength | 2.48 |
| 0.6 | Points Per Game | 1.6 |
| 0/10 | WIN | 4/10 |
| 6/10 | DRAW | 4/10 |
| 1/10 | Clean Sheets | 4/10 |
| 7/10 | BTTS | 5/10 |
| 4/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 6/10 |
| 1 | Average Scored | 1.6 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Nova Iguacu are averaging 1.0 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per match, while Lagarto average 1.6 scored and 1.1 conceded per game.