Our Venados FC vs Oaxaca Prediction: 3-1
Venados FC vs Oaxaca in the Mexico Liga de Expansion is scheduled for an 01:00 GMT kick-off on Saturday February 7, 2026. We’re backing a 3-1 home victory, but with both teams creating plenty of chances, over 2.5 goals is another strong betting option.
This Venados FC vs Oaxaca prediction is backed by a deep dive into both teams' recent performances, key stats and head-to-head history — all of which you'll find detailed below to help you make an informed betting decision.
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Recent Form Insights
Venados FC's Last Match – Tapatio vs Venados FC
Venados FC must win to recover from their recent 2-4 Mexico Liga de Expansion defeat against Tapatio on January 16 and regain momentum. In that match, Venados FC recorded 46% possession and 4 shots hitting the target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Tapatio | 54% | 0 (7) | - | 56 |
 Venados FC | 46% | 0 (4) | - | 52 |
Oaxaca's Last Match – Oaxaca vs Atletico Morelia
After suffering a 0-3 Mexico Liga de Expansion loss to Atletico Morelia, Oaxaca must win to get back on track. In that match, Oaxaca controlled 58% of possession and managed 10 shots on goal, with 5 hitting the target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Oaxaca | 58% | 10 (5) | - | 42 |
 Atletico Morelia | 42% | 6 (4) | - | 31 |
Venados FC vs Oaxaca Stats
Key Stats
| Venados FC | Oaxaca | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.41 | Attacking Strength | 0.95 |
| 1.3 | Defence Strength | 1.19 |
| 1.6 | Points Per Game | 1.5 |
| 5/10 | WIN | 4/10 |
| 1/10 | DRAW | 3/10 |
| 1/10 | Clean Sheets | 2/10 |
| 6/10 | BTTS | 6/10 |
| 6/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 4/10 |
| 2.3 | Average Scored | 1 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Venados FC are averaging 2.3 goals scored and 1.8 conceded per match, while Oaxaca average 1.0 scored and 1.3 conceded per game.