Our Lugo vs Ourense Prediction: 1-1
Lugo vs Ourense in the Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 1 is scheduled for an 15:15 GMT kick-off on Sunday December 21, 2025. A 1-1 draw is our predicted outcome, with both teams expected to score, making BTTS a solid betting option.
This Lugo vs Ourense prediction is backed by a deep dive into both teams' recent performances, key stats and head-to-head history — all of which you'll find detailed below to help you make an informed betting decision.
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Recent Form Insights
Lugo's Last Match – Osasuna B vs Lugo
Lugo will seek to go one better this time following a 0-0 Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 1 share of the spoils with Osasuna B on December 13. In that match, Lugo controlled 51% of possession and managed 2 shots on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Osasuna B | 49% | 0 (5) | - | 34 |
Lugo | 51% | 0 (2) | - | 33 |
Ourense's Last Match – Ourense vs Athletic Bilbao
Ourense must win as they aim to bounce back from a disappointing 0-1 Spain Copa del Rey defeat against Athletic Bilbao on December 18. In that match, Ourense had 47% possession and 4 attempts at goal, with 1 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Ourense | 47% | 4 (1) | 0.4 | 54 |
Athletic Bilbao | 53% | 16 (5) | 2.08 | 99 |
Lugo vs Ourense Stats
Key Stats
| Lugo | Ourense | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.96 | Attacking Strength | 0.67 |
| 0.86 | Defence Strength | 0.96 |
| 1.3 | Points Per Game | 2 |
| 2/10 | WIN | 6/10 |
| 7/10 | DRAW | 2/10 |
| 5/10 | Clean Sheets | 5/10 |
| 4/10 | BTTS | 4/10 |
| 2/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 6/10 |
| 0.9 | Average Scored | 1.9 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Lugo are averaging 0.9 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per match, while Ourense average 1.9 scored and 1.0 conceded per game.
Lugo 9-8
Ourense 19-10
What are the odds for this match?
Lugo to win: @1.95
Draw: @2.9
Ourense to win: @4



Osasuna B
Lugo
Ourense
Athletic Bilbao
Sabadell
Atletico Madrid B
Eldense
CE Europa
Real Murcia
Teruel
FC Cartagena
Algeciras CF
Hercules
Villarreal B
Antequera
SD Tarazona
UD Ibiza
Alcorcon
Juventud Torremolinos CF
Sevilla Atletico
Atletico Sanluqueno
Betis Deportivo
Marbella FC