Our Ourense vs Lugo Prediction: 1-1
Ourense vs Lugo in the Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 1 is scheduled for an 14:15 GMT kick-off on Saturday April 11, 2026. Our analysis suggests a 1-1 stalemate, with both teams capable of scoring, reinforcing BTTS as a valuable choice.
Our prediction is supported by key Ourense vs Lugo stats, including attacking and defensive strength, recent form and historical results — all detailed below.
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Recent Form Insights
Ourense's Last Match – Real Aviles CF vs Ourense
Ourense will be looking to bounce back after a 1-2 Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 1 defeat against Real Aviles CF on April 5. In that match, Ourense recorded 41% possession and 2 shots hitting the target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Real Aviles CF | 59% | 0 (3) | - | 78 |
 Ourense | 41% | 0 (2) | - | 54 |
Lugo's Last Match – Lugo vs Osasuna B
Lugo will aim to put their last result behind them following a 0-1 Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 1 loss to Osasuna B on April 5. In that match, Lugo saw 56% of the ball and 7 shots on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Lugo | 56% | 0 (7) | - | 90 |
 Osasuna B | 44% | 0 (3) | - | 54 |
Ourense vs Lugo Stats
Key Stats
| Ourense | Lugo | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.37 | Attacking Strength | 1.07 |
| 0.88 | Defence Strength | 0.65 |
| 0.9 | Points Per Game | 1.3 |
| 2/10 | WIN | 3/10 |
| 3/10 | DRAW | 4/10 |
| 3/10 | Clean Sheets | 2/10 |
| 4/10 | BTTS | 5/10 |
| 3/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 2/10 |
| 0.8 | Average Scored | 0.9 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Ourense are averaging 0.8 goals scored and 0.9 conceded per match, while Lugo average 0.9 scored and 1.2 conceded per game.
Ourense 8-9
Lugo 9-12
What are the odds for this match?
Ourense to win: @2.15
Draw: @2.9
Lugo to win: @3.3