Our Padova vs Bari Prediction: 1-1
Padova vs Bari in the Italy Serie B is scheduled for an 14:00 GMT kick-off on Saturday February 21, 2026. A 1-1 draw seems the most likely outcome, and with both teams showing attacking intent, BTTS is a solid alternative bet.
This Padova vs Bari prediction is backed by a deep dive into both teams' recent performances, key stats and head-to-head history — all of which you'll find detailed below to help you make an informed betting decision.
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Recent Form Insights
Padova's Last Match – Sampdoria vs Padova
Padova will hope to recover from their recent 0-1 Italy Serie B setback against Sampdoria on February 14. In that match, Padova recorded 48% possession, firing 4 shots at goal, with 1 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Sampdoria | 52% | 6 (3) | 1.61 | 50 |
Padova | 48% | 4 (1) | 0.24 | 28 |
Bari's Last Match – Bari vs Sudtirol
After suffering a 1-2 Italy Serie B loss to Sudtirol, Bari must win to get back on track. In that match, Bari had 54% possession and 7 attempts at goal, with 1 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Bari | 54% | 7 (1) | 0.53 | 44 |
Sudtirol | 46% | 8 (5) | 2.34 | 74 |
Padova vs Bari Stats
Key Stats
| Padova | Bari | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.87 | Attacking Strength | 0.66 |
| 1.23 | Defence Strength | 1.23 |
| 1.1 | Points Per Game | 0.6 |
| 3/10 | WIN | 1/10 |
| 2/10 | DRAW | 3/10 |
| 2/10 | Clean Sheets | 2/10 |
| 5/10 | BTTS | 5/10 |
| 5/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 5/10 |
| 1.1 | Average Scored | 0.6 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Padova are averaging 1.1 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per match, while Bari average 0.6 scored and 1.3 conceded per game.
Padova 11-14
Bari 6-13
What are the odds for this match?
Padova to win: @2.3
Draw: @3
Bari to win: @3.4
Lineups
Padova (4-4-2) : Alessandro Sorrentino, Francesco Belli, Filippo Sgarbi, Marco Perrotta, Antonio Barreca, Mattia Bortolussi, Pietro Fusi, Jonas Harder, Francesco Di Mariano, Alessandro Capelli, Cristian Buonaiuto
Bari (3-4-2-1) : Michele Cerofolini, Andrea Cistana, Cas Odenthal, Valerio Mantovani, Kevin Piscopo, Giulio Maggiore, Federico Artioli, Mehdi Dorval, Nicolo Cavuoti, Emanuele Rao, Gabriele Moncini



Sampdoria
Padova
Bari
Sudtirol
Venezia
Monza
Frosinone
Palermo
Catanzaro
Modena
Juve Stabia
Cesena
Sudtirol
Padova
Carrarese
Empoli
Avellino
AC Reggiana
Sampdoria
Mantova
Spezia
Virtus Entella
Bari
Pescara