Our Bari vs Padova Prediction: 1-1
Bari vs Padova in the Italy Serie B is scheduled for an 13:00 GMT kick-off on Saturday October 4, 2025. We expect a 1-1 result in a tightly contested match, with BTTS looking like a reliable bet given both teams’ recent scoring form.
This Bari vs Padova prediction is backed by a deep dive into both teams' recent performances, key stats and head-to-head history — all of which you'll find detailed below to help you make an informed betting decision.
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Recent Form Insights
Bari's Last Match – Virtus Entella vs Bari
Bari will look to build on their last result following a 2-2 Italy Serie B stalemate against Virtus Entella on September 30. In that match, Bari controlled 50% of possession and managed 6 shots on goal, with 3 hitting the target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Virtus Entella | 50% | 9 (7) | 1.32 | 34 |
 Bari | 50% | 6 (3) | 1.38 | 17 |
Padova's Last Match – Padova vs Avellino
Padova must win as they look to rediscover their winning form following a 2-2 Italy Serie B draw against Avellino on September 30. In that match, Padova recorded 45% possession, attempting 10 shots on goal, with 3 hitting the target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Padova | 45% | 10 (3) | 0.96 | 40 |
 Avellino | 55% | 7 (4) | 1.07 | 44 |
Bari vs Padova Stats
Key Stats
| Bari | Padova | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.87 | Attacking Strength | 0.89 |
| 0.89 | Defence Strength | 0.87 |
| 1.2 | Points Per Game | 1.4 |
| 3/10 | WIN | 4/10 |
| 3/10 | DRAW | 2/10 |
| 3/10 | Clean Sheets | 3/10 |
| 4/10 | BTTS | 4/10 |
| 5/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 4/10 |
| 2.6 | Average Scored | 1 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Bari are averaging 2.6 goals scored and 1.3 conceded per match, while Padova average 1.0 scored and 1.1 conceded per game.
Bari 26-13
Padova 10-11
What are the odds for this match?
Bari to win: @2.15
Draw: @3.2
Padova to win: @3.5
Lineups
Bari (3-5-2) : Michele Cerofolini, Andrea Meroni, Dimitrios Nikolaou, Riccardo Burgio, Lorenzo Dickmann, Riccardo Pagano, Matthias Verreth, Gaetano Castrovilli, Mirko Antonucci, Emanuele Rao, Chris Gytkjaer
Padova (3-5-2) : Mattia Fortin, Carlo Faedo, Marco Perrotta, Filippo Sgarbi, Alessandro Capelli, Kevin Varas Marcillo, Pietro Fusi, Lorenzo Crisetig, Antonio Barreca, Kevin Lasagna, Mattia Bortolussi
Frosinone 
Venezia 
Monza 
Palermo 
Catanzaro 
Cesena 
Modena 
Empoli 
Juve Stabia 
Padova 
Avellino 
Carrarese 
AC Reggiana 
Sudtirol 
Virtus Entella 
Sampdoria 
Spezia 
Bari 
Mantova 
Pescara