Our Padova vs Bari Prediction: 1-1
Padova vs Bari in the Italy Serie B is scheduled for an 14:00 GMT kick-off on Saturday February 21, 2026. A 1-1 draw seems the most likely outcome, and with both teams showing attacking intent, BTTS is a solid alternative bet.
This Padova vs Bari prediction is backed by a deep dive into both teams' recent performances, key stats and head-to-head history — all of which you'll find detailed below to help you make an informed betting decision.
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Recent Form Insights
Padova's Last Match – Sampdoria vs Padova
Padova will hope to recover from their recent 0-1 Italy Serie B setback against Sampdoria on February 14. In that match, Padova recorded 48% possession, firing 4 shots at goal, with 1 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Sampdoria | 52% | 6 (3) | 1.61 | 50 |
 Padova | 48% | 4 (1) | 0.24 | 28 |
Bari's Last Match – Bari vs Sudtirol
After suffering a 1-2 Italy Serie B loss to Sudtirol, Bari must win to get back on track. In that match, Bari had 54% possession and 7 attempts at goal, with 1 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Bari | 54% | 7 (1) | 0.53 | 44 |
 Sudtirol | 46% | 8 (5) | 2.34 | 74 |
Padova vs Bari Stats
Key Stats
| Padova | Bari | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.87 | Attacking Strength | 0.66 |
| 1.23 | Defence Strength | 1.23 |
| 1.1 | Points Per Game | 0.6 |
| 3/10 | WIN | 1/10 |
| 2/10 | DRAW | 3/10 |
| 2/10 | Clean Sheets | 2/10 |
| 5/10 | BTTS | 5/10 |
| 5/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 5/10 |
| 1.1 | Average Scored | 0.6 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Padova are averaging 1.1 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per match, while Bari average 0.6 scored and 1.3 conceded per game.
Padova 11-14
Bari 6-13
What are the odds for this match?
Padova to win: @2.3
Draw: @3
Bari to win: @3.4
Lineups
Padova (4-4-2) : Alessandro Sorrentino, Francesco Belli, Filippo Sgarbi, Marco Perrotta, Antonio Barreca, Mattia Bortolussi, Pietro Fusi, Jonas Harder, Francesco Di Mariano, Alessandro Capelli, Cristian Buonaiuto
Bari (3-4-2-1) : Michele Cerofolini, Andrea Cistana, Cas Odenthal, Valerio Mantovani, Kevin Piscopo, Giulio Maggiore, Federico Artioli, Mehdi Dorval, Nicolo Cavuoti, Emanuele Rao, Gabriele Moncini