Our Bari vs Padova Prediction: 1-1
Bari vs Padova in the Italy Serie B is scheduled for an 13:00 GMT kick-off on Saturday October 4, 2025. We expect a 1-1 result in a tightly contested match, with BTTS looking like a reliable bet given both teams’ recent scoring form.
This Bari vs Padova prediction is backed by a deep dive into both teams' recent performances, key stats and head-to-head history — all of which you'll find detailed below to help you make an informed betting decision.
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Recent Form Insights
Bari's Last Match – Virtus Entella vs Bari
Bari will look to build on their last result following a 2-2 Italy Serie B stalemate against Virtus Entella on September 30. In that match, Bari controlled 50% of possession and managed 6 shots on goal, with 3 hitting the target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Virtus Entella | 50% | 9 (7) | 1.32 | 34 |
 Bari | 50% | 6 (3) | 1.38 | 17 |
Padova's Last Match – Padova vs Avellino
Padova must win as they look to rediscover their winning form following a 2-2 Italy Serie B draw against Avellino on September 30. In that match, Padova recorded 45% possession, attempting 10 shots on goal, with 3 hitting the target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Padova | 45% | 10 (3) | 0.96 | 40 |
 Avellino | 55% | 7 (4) | 1.07 | 44 |
Bari vs Padova Stats
Key Stats
| Bari | Padova | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.87 | Attacking Strength | 0.89 |
| 0.89 | Defence Strength | 0.87 |
| 1.2 | Points Per Game | 1.4 |
| 3/10 | WIN | 4/10 |
| 3/10 | DRAW | 2/10 |
| 3/10 | Clean Sheets | 3/10 |
| 4/10 | BTTS | 4/10 |
| 5/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 4/10 |
| 2.6 | Average Scored | 1 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Bari are averaging 2.6 goals scored and 1.3 conceded per match, while Padova average 1.0 scored and 1.1 conceded per game.
Bari 26-13
Padova 10-11
What are the odds for this match?
Bari to win: @2.15
Draw: @3.2
Padova to win: @3.5
Lineups
Bari (3-5-2) : Michele Cerofolini, Andrea Meroni, Dimitrios Nikolaou, Riccardo Burgio, Lorenzo Dickmann, Riccardo Pagano, Matthias Verreth, Gaetano Castrovilli, Mirko Antonucci, Emanuele Rao, Chris Gytkjaer
Padova (3-5-2) : Mattia Fortin, Carlo Faedo, Marco Perrotta, Filippo Sgarbi, Alessandro Capelli, Kevin Varas Marcillo, Pietro Fusi, Lorenzo Crisetig, Antonio Barreca, Kevin Lasagna, Mattia Bortolussi