Our Padova vs Spezia Prediction: 1-1
Padova vs Spezia in the Italy Serie B is scheduled for an 18:00 GMT kick-off on Tuesday March 3, 2026. We anticipate a balanced game ending in a 1-1 draw, and given both teams’ scoring form, BTTS looks like a safe bet.
This Padova vs Spezia prediction is backed by a deep dive into both teams' recent performances, key stats and head-to-head history — all of which you'll find detailed below to help you make an informed betting decision.
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Recent Form Insights
Padova's Last Match – Modena vs Padova
Padova must win to build on their momentum after securing a hard-fought 2-1 Italy Serie B victory over Modena in their last outing. In that match, Padova recorded 40% possession, firing 5 shots at goal, with 3 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Modena | 60% | 9 (5) | 0.44 | 74 |
 Padova | 40% | 5 (3) | 0.54 | 23 |
Spezia's Last Match – Spezia vs AC Reggiana
Spezia will aim to put their last result behind them following a 0-1 Italy Serie B loss to AC Reggiana on February 28. In that match, Spezia recorded 66% possession, attempting 4 shots on goal, with 5 hitting the target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Spezia | 66% | 4 (5) | 2.05 | 57 |
 AC Reggiana | 34% | 3 (1) | 0.37 | 17 |
Padova vs Spezia Stats
Key Stats
| Padova | Spezia | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.8 | Attacking Strength | 1.01 |
| 1.1 | Defence Strength | 0.94 |
| 1.1 | Points Per Game | 1.1 |
| 3/10 | WIN | 3/10 |
| 2/10 | DRAW | 2/10 |
| 2/10 | Clean Sheets | 2/10 |
| 5/10 | BTTS | 4/10 |
| 5/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 3/10 |
| 1.1 | Average Scored | 0.8 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Padova are averaging 1.1 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per match, while Spezia average 0.8 scored and 1.1 conceded per game.
Padova 11-14
Spezia 8-11
What are the odds for this match?
Padova to win: @2.7
Draw: @3.1
Spezia to win: @2.55
Lineups
Padova (4-4-2) : Alessandro Sorrentino, Francesco Belli, Filippo Sgarbi, Gianluca Caprari, Carlo Faedo, Alessandro Capelli, Kevin Varas Marcillo, Pietro Fusi, Francesco Di Mariano, Marco Perrotta, Kevin Lasagna
Spezia (3-5-2) : Boris Radunovic, Marco Ruggero, Ales Mateju, Giovanni Bonfanti, Leonardo Sernicola, Alessandro Bellemo, Adam Nagy, Christian Comotto, Giuseppe Aurelio, Gabriele Artistico, Vanja Vlahovic