Our Padova vs Spezia Prediction: 1-1
Padova vs Spezia in the Italy Serie B is scheduled for an 18:00 GMT kick-off on Tuesday March 3, 2026. We anticipate a balanced game ending in a 1-1 draw, and given both teams’ scoring form, BTTS looks like a safe bet.
This Padova vs Spezia prediction is backed by a deep dive into both teams' recent performances, key stats and head-to-head history — all of which you'll find detailed below to help you make an informed betting decision.
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Recent Form Insights
Padova's Last Match – Modena vs Padova
Padova must win to build on their momentum after securing a hard-fought 2-1 Italy Serie B victory over Modena in their last outing. In that match, Padova recorded 40% possession, firing 5 shots at goal, with 3 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Modena | 60% | 9 (5) | 0.44 | 74 |
 Padova | 40% | 5 (3) | 0.54 | 23 |
Spezia's Last Match – Spezia vs AC Reggiana
Spezia will aim to put their last result behind them following a 0-1 Italy Serie B loss to AC Reggiana on February 28. In that match, Spezia recorded 66% possession, attempting 4 shots on goal, with 5 hitting the target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Spezia | 66% | 4 (5) | 2.05 | 57 |
 AC Reggiana | 34% | 3 (1) | 0.37 | 17 |
Padova vs Spezia Stats
Key Stats
| Padova | Spezia | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.8 | Attacking Strength | 1.01 |
| 1.1 | Defence Strength | 0.94 |
| 1.1 | Points Per Game | 1.1 |
| 3/10 | WIN | 3/10 |
| 2/10 | DRAW | 2/10 |
| 2/10 | Clean Sheets | 2/10 |
| 5/10 | BTTS | 4/10 |
| 5/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 3/10 |
| 1.1 | Average Scored | 0.8 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Padova are averaging 1.1 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per match, while Spezia average 0.8 scored and 1.1 conceded per game.
Padova 11-14
Spezia 8-11
What are the odds for this match?
Padova to win: @2.7
Draw: @3.1
Spezia to win: @2.55
Lineups
Padova (4-4-2) : Alessandro Sorrentino, Francesco Belli, Filippo Sgarbi, Gianluca Caprari, Carlo Faedo, Alessandro Capelli, Kevin Varas Marcillo, Pietro Fusi, Francesco Di Mariano, Marco Perrotta, Kevin Lasagna
Spezia (3-5-2) : Boris Radunovic, Marco Ruggero, Ales Mateju, Giovanni Bonfanti, Leonardo Sernicola, Alessandro Bellemo, Adam Nagy, Christian Comotto, Giuseppe Aurelio, Gabriele Artistico, Vanja Vlahovic
Venezia 
Monza 
Frosinone 
Palermo 
Catanzaro 
Modena 
Juve Stabia 
Cesena 
Sudtirol 
Avellino 
Padova 
Carrarese 
Empoli 
Sampdoria 
Mantova 
Virtus Entella 
Bari 
AC Reggiana 
Spezia 
Pescara