Our Chelsea vs Pafos FC Prediction: 1-0
Chelsea vs Pafos FC in the UEFA Champions League is scheduled for an 20:00 GMT kick-off on Wednesday January 21, 2026. Pafos FC will put up a fight, but Pafos FC’s quality should prevail in a tight 1-0 home win.
Our prediction is supported by key performance data, betting odds and match insights — everything you need is right below to make smarter bets.
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Recent Form Insights
Chelsea's Last Match – Chelsea vs Brentford
Determined to maintain their recent success, Chelsea must win following their 2-0 England Premier League victory against Brentford on January 17. In that match, Chelsea saw 46% of the ball and created 4 goal attempts, with 2 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Chelsea | 46% | 4 (2) | 1.59 | 39 |
 Brentford | 54% | 10 (5) | 1.53 | 51 |
Pafos FC's Last Match – Olympiakos Nicosia vs Pafos FC
Pafos FC will aim to put their last result behind them following a 0-2 Cyprus Division 1 loss to Olympiakos Nicosia on January 17. In that match, Pafos FC had 51% possession and 1 shots on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Olympiakos Nicosia | 49% | 0 (5) | - | 51 |
 Pafos FC | 51% | 0 (1) | - | 45 |
Chelsea vs Pafos FC Stats
Key Stats
| Chelsea | Pafos FC | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.08 | Attacking Strength | 0 |
| 0.56 | Defence Strength | 0.36 |
| 1.5 | Points Per Game | 1.9 |
| 4/10 | WIN | 6/10 |
| 3/10 | DRAW | 1/10 |
| 2/10 | Clean Sheets | 3/10 |
| 8/10 | BTTS | 5/10 |
| 7/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 6/10 |
| 2.1 | Average Scored | 1.8 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Chelsea are averaging 2.1 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per match, while Pafos FC average 1.8 scored and 1.2 conceded per game.
Chelsea 21-14
Pafos FC 18-12
What are the odds for this match?
Chelsea to win: @1.142
Draw: @8
Pafos FC to win: @19