Our Palermo vs Bari Prediction: 2-1
Palermo vs Bari in the Italy Serie B is scheduled for an 19:00 GMT kick-off on Friday September 19, 2025. Our forecast points to a 2-1 home win, but considering both teams’ recent scoring patterns, BTTS is a highly likely outcome.
This Palermo vs Bari prediction is backed by a deep dive into both teams' recent performances, key stats and head-to-head history — all of which you'll find detailed below to help you make an informed betting decision.
→ View Today's Full-Time Score Predictions
Recent Form Insights
Palermo's Last Match – Sudtirol vs Palermo
Palermo must win to build on their momentum after securing a hard-fought 2-0 Italy Serie B victory over Sudtirol in their last outing. In that match, Palermo controlled 50% of possession and managed 8 shots on goal, with 4 hitting the target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Sudtirol | 50% | 8 (2) | 0.86 | 72 |
Palermo | 50% | 8 (4) | 1.21 | 42 |
Bari's Last Match – Modena vs Bari
Bari will be eager to respond after suffering a 0-3 Italy Serie B defeat at the hands of Modena on September 13. In that match, Bari had 58% possession and 7 attempts at goal, with 3 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Modena | 42% | 15 (9) | 3.14 | 48 |
Bari | 58% | 7 (3) | 0.71 | 31 |
Palermo vs Bari Stats
Key Stats
| Palermo | Bari | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.25 | Attacking Strength | 0.81 |
| 1.26 | Defence Strength | 1.33 |
| 2 | Points Per Game | 1.4 |
| 6/10 | WIN | 4/10 |
| 2/10 | DRAW | 2/10 |
| 5/10 | Clean Sheets | 5/10 |
| 3/10 | BTTS | 3/10 |
| 5/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 5/10 |
| 1.7 | Average Scored | 2.5 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Palermo are averaging 1.7 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per match, while Bari average 2.5 scored and 1.1 conceded per game.
Palermo 17-8
Bari 25-11
What are the odds for this match?
Palermo to win: @1.7
Draw: @3.5
Bari to win: @5.25
Lineups
Palermo (3-4-2-1) : Jesse Joronen, Antonio Palumbo, Mattia Bani, Pietro Ceccaroni, Niccolo Pierozzi, Jacopo Segre, Filippo Ranocchia, Tommaso Augello, Emmanuel Gyasi, Matteo Brunori, Joel Pohjanpalo
Bari (4-4-2) : Michele Cerofolini, Lorenzo Dickmann, Francesco Vicari, Dimitrios Nikolaou, Mehdi Dorval, Matthias Braunoder, Matthias Verreth, Gaetano Castrovilli, Ebrima Darboe, Giuseppe Sibilli, Gabriele Moncini



Sudtirol
Palermo
Modena
Bari
Monza
Modena
Cesena
Frosinone
Venezia
Palermo
Juve Stabia
AC Reggiana
Avellino
Carrarese
Catanzaro
Padova
Empoli
Virtus Entella
Bari
Sudtirol
Mantova
Spezia
Pescara
Sampdoria