Our Bari vs Palermo Prediction: 1-1
Bari vs Palermo in the Italy Serie B is scheduled for an 19:30 GMT kick-off on Friday January 30, 2026. Our forecast favors a 1-1 draw, with both sides expected to find the net, making BTTS a highly probable scenario.
This Bari vs Palermo prediction is backed by a deep dive into both teams' recent performances, key stats and head-to-head history — all of which you'll find detailed below to help you make an informed betting decision.
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Recent Form Insights
Bari's Last Match – Cesena vs Bari
Bari will aim to maintain their momentum following a 2-1 Italy Serie B triumph against Cesena on January 24. In that match, Bari recorded 37% possession, firing 5 shots at goal, with 3 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Cesena | 63% | 16 (9) | 1.31 | 80 |
 Bari | 37% | 5 (3) | 0.4 | 21 |
Palermo's Last Match – Modena vs Palermo
Palermo will be hoping to return to winning ways after a 0-0 Italy Serie B draw with Modena on January 24. In that match, Palermo controlled 54% of possession and managed 2 shots on goal, with 2 hitting the target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Modena | 46% | 8 (1) | 0.36 | 35 |
 Palermo | 54% | 2 (2) | 0.29 | 41 |
Bari vs Palermo Stats
Key Stats
| Bari | Palermo | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.77 | Attacking Strength | 1.16 |
| 0.98 | Defence Strength | 0.77 |
| 0.5 | Points Per Game | 2.1 |
| 0/10 | WIN | 6/10 |
| 5/10 | DRAW | 3/10 |
| 2/10 | Clean Sheets | 5/10 |
| 5/10 | BTTS | 4/10 |
| 3/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 4/10 |
| 0.6 | Average Scored | 2 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Bari are averaging 0.7 goals scored and 1.5 conceded per match, while Palermo average 1.5 scored and 0.6 conceded per game.