Our AC Milan vs Parma Prediction: 1-1
AC Milan vs Parma in the Italy Serie A is scheduled for an 17:00 GMT kick-off on Sunday February 22, 2026. We expect a 1-1 result in a tightly contested match, with BTTS looking like a reliable bet given both teams’ recent scoring form.
Our prediction is supported by key AC Milan vs Parma stats, including attacking and defensive strength, recent form and historical results — all detailed below.
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Recent Form Insights
AC Milan's Last Match – AC Milan vs Como
AC Milan will be hoping to return to winning ways after a 1-1 Italy Serie A draw with Como on February 18. In that match, AC Milan recorded 54% possession, firing 5 shots at goal, with 4 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 AC Milan | 54% | 5 (4) | 0.76 | 43 |
 Como | 46% | 8 (4) | 1.45 | 34 |
Parma's Last Match – Parma vs Verona
Parma will want to continue their winning form after a 2-1 Italy Serie A victory over Verona, knowing this is a must-win match for their campaign. In that match, Parma recorded 76% possession, attempting 14 shots on goal, with 8 hitting the target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Parma | 76% | 14 (8) | 1.7 | 80 |
 Verona | 24% | 2 (1) | 0.85 | 15 |
AC Milan vs Parma Stats
Key Stats
| AC Milan | Parma | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.27 | Attacking Strength | 0.67 |
| 0.67 | Defence Strength | 0.71 |
| 2.2 | Points Per Game | 1.5 |
| 6/10 | WIN | 4/10 |
| 4/10 | DRAW | 3/10 |
| 4/10 | Clean Sheets | 4/10 |
| 6/10 | BTTS | 4/10 |
| 4/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 4/10 |
| 1.7 | Average Scored | 0.8 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
AC Milan are averaging 1.7 goals scored and 0.6 conceded per match, while Parma average 0.8 scored and 1.3 conceded per game.
AC Milan 17-6
Parma 8-13
What are the odds for this match?
AC Milan to win: @1.333
Draw: @5
Parma to win: @9.5
Over 2.5 Goals: @1.825
Lineups
AC Milan (3-5-2) : Mike Maignan, Fikayo Tomori, Koni De Winter, Davide Bartesaghi, Alexis Saelemaekers, Ruben Loftus-Cheek, Luka Modric, Adrien Rabiot, Pervis Estupinan, Rafael Leao, Christian Pulisic
Parma (3-5-1-1) : Edoardo Corvi, Enrico Del Prato, Troilo, Lautaro Valenti, Sascha Britschgi, Adrian Bernabe, Mandela Keita, Christian Ordonez, Emanuele Valeri, Gabriel Strefezza, Mateo Pellegrino